NHL Picks: Play Bruins -130 as Tired Stars Won't Shine Tonight

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, November 3, 2015 12:59 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2015 12:59 PM UTC

The Stars fell 4-1 to the Leafs, while the Bruins had the night off. Let's review the NHL odds and determine which side is the right side to back with your NHL picks tonight.

Dallas Stars (9-3, +5.1 units)
The NHL odds installed Dallas as -160 road favorites over the lowly Toronto Maple Leafs last night, and all those chalk-eaters paid a price for backing the white hot Stars. When the final buzzer sounded, Dallas skated out of Toronto with a 4-1 defeat at the hands of the cellar dwelling Leafs. It wasn't for a lack of trying however. The Stars peppered Toronto goalie James Reimer with 44 shots but only Jamie Benn's first period tally broke through. Dallas netminder Antti Niemi saw only 26 shots and made 22 saves; however, two of the four goals were power play opportunities converted by the Maple Leafs.

The Stars have been one of the NHL's top teams to date. If you have been blindly backing them in your NHL picks, then you are a happy camper. The Stars have won nine of 12 this season and have returned 5.1 units to their investors. They now sit atop the Western Conference with 18 points on the season and rank 3rd in goals per game averaging 3.4 per contest and 3rd in power play percentage connecting on 25 percent of their man-advantage opportunities.


Boston Bruins (6-4, +2.6 units)
After just three games to start the season, the Bruins were winless and the sky was falling on Causeway Street. There were calls for head coach Claude Julien's ouster, and the new regime under General Manager Don Sweeney was already under siege by Bruins fans, sports radio pundits, and the Boston media at large. But what a difference winning six of seven will do to quiet the naysayers and turn back the hordes armed with pitchforks and lanterns. Yes, the Bruins are back and look to make it five straight at the expense of the Dallas Stars.

But things haven't gone nearly as well at home as they have on the highway. The B's have been veritable road warriors this season, as they are undefeated away from the Garden. But when they come home, something goes wrong. The Bruins are 1-4 at home and 5-0 on the road. Boston got their first home victory of the season on October 27th against the Coyotes when they brought a fresh attitude and renewed confidence into their building, which resulted in a  dominating 6-0 performance. Since then the B's have won two straight on the road over the Panthers and Lightning by identical 3-1 margins.


NHL Picks
Like their opponents tonight, the Bruins have a high-octane offense, ranked 1st in the NHL in both scoring and power play percentage. However, their defense and goaltending had been less than stellar which is why the club ranks 27th in goals against and 26th on the penalty kill. And now they must face the likes of former Bruins wunderkind Tyler Seguin and the NHL's leading goal scorer Jamie Benn.

But here's the deal: the Bruins aren't really that bad defensively nor in the net. They now have a healthy Zdeno Chara patrolling the blueline and Tuukka Rask is a Vezina Trophy winner that simply had a lousy start to the season. Rask has been outstanding of late and the Bruins are wisely spelling him with relief performances by capable backup Jonas Gustavsson.

In short, both teams have the ability to score in buckets, but Boston has a deeper defensive corps and better goaltending, that is finally coming to the fore after an uncharacteristic beginning. Lastly, the Stars played last night in Toronto and had to hop a plane late while the Bruins rested comfortably in their own beds. I'll side with the white hot home team in this one.

Free NHL Pick: Play Boston -130 at GTBets

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***Want to learn how to choose winning NHL picks? Review our Methods For Picking Winners HERE***

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