NHL Picks Panthers vs Redwings: Detroit Will Dominate the Scoreboard

Bruce Webster

Sunday, November 29, 2015 1:10 PM GMT

The Panthers come in off a win over the Islanders Friday, snapping their three game losing streak. While the Red Wings come in off a win over the Oilers, their 3rd win in their last four games.

Florida Panthers (9-9-3-1 SU, 12-10 PL, 7-8-7 OU) vs Detroit Red Wings (12-8-3 SU, 11-12 PL, 6-12-5 OU)
When: 2:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 29, 2015
Where: Joe Louis Arena In Detroit, Michigan
NHL Odds on Pick Line: -136
NHL Total Odds: 5

 

Win Over Isles Snaps Three Game Slide
The Florida Panthers have not been playing well overall and they went into their Friday contest with the Islanders having lost three games in a row but they ended that slide with a nice 3-2 win in a shootout. Brandon Pirri got the scoring started in the first period with his 4th goal of the year and then Jussi Jokinen added his 6th of the year in the 2nd period to give Florida the 2-0. The Islanders then scored two in 3rd to tie it and sent the game to extra hockey, where Aleksander Barkov scored the game winner in the shootout.

Getting the win in the game was Roberto Luongo, who came up with 23 saves to improve his record to 7-11 on the year with a 2.45 GAA. He is also slated to get the start here and is 14-20 with a 2.90 GAA in his career vs the Red Wings. The Panthers check in at 17h in the league in scoring (2.5 gpg), but they have had very good success in power play conversions, ranking 5th in that department, converting on 21.8% of their chances. On defense they are 15th in the league in goals allowed, but 25th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 23.2% of their chances.

 

Detroit Playing Plenty of Extra Hockey
The Detroit Red Wings have to be tiring out a little after playing their 5th OT game in their last six games on Saturday night vs the Edmonton Oilers. That’s a lot of extra hockey and it looks like the NHL’s new 3-on-3 rule in OT is paying off as none of those games went to a shootout.  The Red Wings won the game vs Edmonton and have gone 3-2 in the five OT games. Niklas Kronwall picked a heck of a time for his first goal of the year as it was the game winner in the OT period.

Grabbing the win for Detroit was Jimmy Howard, who has now won three games in a row, with all three games going to OT and all three games having a 4-3 final; kind of weird. Howard is now 6-5 with a 2.40 GAA on the year. Petr Mrazek is scheduled to get this start and he is 6-6 with a 2.21 GAA on the year, while vs the Panthers in his career he has gone 1-1 with a 3.55 GAA. Detroit comes in ranked 21st in the league in scoring (2.4 gpg) and 23rd in power play conversions (16.7%), while on defense they are 11th in goals allowed (2.5 gpg) and 8th in penalty kill (84%).  

 

Florida is:
19-42 in their last 61 after allowing two goals or less in their previous game
17-44 in their last 61 games following a win

Detroit is:
5-0 in their last five vs. a team with a losing record
4-0 in their last four when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game.

I like the Red Wings in this one as they are at home and have some momentum after winning three of their last four games. Florida is coming off of a big win vs the Islanders, but still they are not playing all that well and as you can see from above, they haven’t done well when coming off a win. Detroit has the better goalie in this one and should walk away with a solid win, even though they may be a bit tired after playing all those OT games lately they are still our NHL Pick for Sunday. 

NHL Pick: Detroit Red Wings -140 at 5Dimes

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