The Los Angeles Kings are just two spots higher in the Pacific Division than the Edmonton Oilers, who are dead last. However, make no mistakes about it. The Kings are a significantly better team, which is why you have to lay so much juice on the NHL odds to bet them on Sunday.
The Edmonton Oilers can win because…
Flukes happen. The Oilers have already won twice on the road this week and they burned people who used their sports picks to bet against them. The Montreal Canadiens were laying around -200 and so were the Ottawa Senators, yet the Oilers cashed both times. Do you want to be caught in that situation again?
Sure, the Oilers are struggling, but they’ve already shown what they’re capable of when they put it together. They’ve had a rough start to the season but they’ve showed signs of life this week.
The Los Angeles Kings can win because…
The Oilers are back to being the Oilers. What does that mean? It means that their mid-week spell where they surprisingly won two straight was phony. The Oilers started the week with a surprising 3-1 win in Ottawa and then they stole a 4-3 win in Montreal as well. However, that was not a turning point; that was just a brief flicker in a horrendous season. People making their sports picks were burned by the Oilers on Thursday, thinking they had some momentum. The Oilers lost 4-1 at home to the Washington Capitals and then lost 5-4 to the Phoenix Coyotes on Saturday. When you start to add it up, this team has just three wins in 12 games on the year.
The trouble for the Oilers is that they face an extreme disparity with the matchup in net. Their goaltenders both have saver percentages of .878 or worse while the Kings have Jonathan Quick, who is perennially a Vezina Trophy candidate.
The Kings have won six of eight and come into this matchup with momentum. The Oilers are at the opposite end of the spectrum right now.
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Outlook & Pick
This is a tough spot to take a shot with the Oilers. They are in a back-to-back situation after losing in Phoenix last night and they’ve now lost two in a row. Whatever confidence they reaped from two mid-week wins has dissipated. On top of that, the Oilers are without a couple of key weapons as Taylor Hall and Sam Gagner are out. However, the bigger issue seems to be that the Oilers just can’t keep the puck out of the net. They’ve allowed 12 in their last three games and have given up at least three goals in 11 of their 12 games this season. Considering the Kings biggest weakness is offense, they figure to have an easy time of things on Sunday given that the Oilers have been so inviting to everyone.
The Kings are 11-1-4 in their last 16 meetings with Edmonton and Quick is 9-1-3 with a 1.51 GAA in that span. That should be the difference for our NHL picks on Sunday.
Free Pick: Kings -1.5 at Bet 365