NHL Picks: Melting the Ice, 'Under' Plays for Saturday's Card

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, November 21, 2015 6:16 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 21, 2015 6:16 PM GMT

Our NHL analyst shares his two top totals NHL picks on Saturday’s large card. Don’t make a move without first reading this compelling betting preview article.

San Jose Sharks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 7:05 PM ET
San Jose is coming off a 1-0 overtime win at Philadelphia in their previous game. Martin Jones was outstanding in the win, stopping all 34 Flyers shots on goal. Jones is now 4-0 in his last four starts with a superb .943 save percentage, and is expected to be in goal again today. The win at Philadelphia improved San Jose’s season win percentage to .579.

Pittsburgh is coming off consecutive 4-3 wins over Minnesota and Colorado. The Penguins are 16-4 under the total at home during the past two seasons, following two straight games in which they allowed 3 goals or more. Marc Andre Fleury started both games versus San Jose a season ago, compiled an excellent .952 save percentage, and both contests stayed under the total. Fleury is highly probable to be in goal on Saturday.

Any road team (San Jose) with a winning percentage of .510 to .600, and they’re coming off a road win in which they held their opponent scoreless, resulted in those games going 39-8 (83%) under the total during the past five seasons.

According to the NHL odds, they provide me with a most favorable price for this specific wager.

NHL Pick: Under 5 (+115) at Heritage

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Chicago Blackhawks vs. Vancouver Canucks 10:05 PM ET
Vancouver returns home for the first time since embarking on a seven game in twelve day road trip. They went a miserable 1-6 during that time, and that includes losing their last four in a row. That dismal stretch leaves Vancouver with a poor .350 winning percentage on the season.

Chicago is coming off a 2-1 loss at Calgary last night. Backup goaltender Scott Darling was in goal for the loss, and barring something unforeseen, we’ll see Corey Crawford between the pipes this evening. Crawford has been solid in his last four starts with a .921 save percentage. Friday’s win improved the Blackhawks season win percentage to .550. Chicago is 13-3 under the total on the road during the past two seasons when playing on no rest. The Blackhawks will face an opponent (Canucks) tonight that’s converting on 17.6% of its power play chances, and is averaging 31.0 shots on goal per game. Chicago is 37-14 (72.5%) under the total during the past two seasons, facing an opponent averaging 29.0 or more shots on goal per game, and is successful on 17.5% or better of their power play chances.

Contrary to what perception is pertaining to this game, the reality points toward a low scoring affair. One of my NHL picks on Saturday will deal with reality, and not perception, regarding this particular game.

NHL Pick: Under 5 (+125) at 5Dimes

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