NHL Picks: Maple Leafs vs. Wild

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, November 13, 2013 12:58 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2013 12:58 PM UTC

The Minnesota Wild hosts the Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday at the Xcel Energy Center. Our handicapper shows us the most profitable NHL odds for our sports picks.

According to NHL betting odds Minnesota is a -145 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.0. Toronto has won 8 of the last 11 meetings between these two clubs.

Check out SBRs Wednesday's Hockey Picks of the Day

Well Rested and Ready to Go

Toronto hasn’t played since last Saturday’s 3-1 road loss to the Boston Bruins. That contest marked the 5th time in the last 6-games that the Leafs have gone under the total. Toronto has gone through a bit of a recent dry spell pertaining to the goal scoring department. They’ve scored just 3-goals combined over their last 3-games. Toronto has gone 6-2 in their last 8-games versus Western Conference opponents.

Leafs Goaltending Underrated

When assessing the whole body of work of the Toronto goaltenders they grade out extremely well. The Leafs are allowing 36.5 shots on goal per game which is 29th in the NHL. However, they’re surrendering just 2.4 goals per game which ranks 10th best in the league. James Reimer and Jonathan Bernier have both been terrific this season. Bernier has been given the brunt of the work and has posted a very good 2.17 GAA, and a terrific .936 save percentage in 11 starts. Reimer has started 6-games, has a solid 2.30 GAA, and an excellent .942 save percentage.

Deadly on the Power Play

When coaching staffs have to game plan for the Minnesota Wild there’s surely one aspect of their game that stands out. The Wild are very good on the power play converting on 23.9% of their chances, which ranks 3rd best in the NHL. Considering that the Wild are just 18th in the league averaging just 2.6 goals per game, staying out of the penalty box is certainly a priority for their opponents. Minnesota started the season 3-6 but has won 7 of their last 9-games. Similar to the Leafs the Wild last played on Saturday, and came away with a 3-2 overtime shootout win at Carolina. Unlike Toronto, Minnesota allows just 24.2 shots on goal per game which is the best in the NHL. Minnesota has earned at least 1-point in 9 of their 10 home games this season, and suffered just 1 loss in regulation time at the Xcel Energy Center.

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NHL Totals System

Any road team in the 1st half of the season that’s playing just their 2nd game in 5-days, and has a money line winning percentage of .600 to .700, versus an opponent with a winning record on the money line has seen 62 of those 89-games (69.7%) go under the total for your NHL picks since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season.

NHL Pick: Toronto/Minnesota to go under the total of 5.0

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