NHL Picks for Lightning vs. Blues to go 'Under'

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, March 4, 2014 2:46 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 4, 2014 2:46 PM UTC

The Blues host the Lightning on Tuesday at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri with the opening faceoff slated for 8:05 PM ET. Find out why we have decided to focus on the total for our NHL picks tonight.

According to NHL betting odds the Blues are a -175 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These clubs have seen 7 of their last 9 meetings go over the total. Tampa Bay is currently 3rd in the Atlantic Division, and 4th overall in the Eastern Conference. St. Louis is tied for 1st with Chicago in the Central Division, and is 2nd overall in the Western Conference.

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Rejuvenated Enthusiasm in St. Louis

It goes without saying that the Blues have been one of the best teams in the entire NHL this season. However, the recent trade this past Friday that saw them acquire a franchise goaltender in Ryan Miller, and gritty charismatic center Steve Ott from Buffalo, has shown Blues fans that the front office truly believes that this club can win its first ever Stanley Cup. Both Miller and Ott debuted in a Blues uniform in Sunday’s 4-2 win at Phoenix. St. Louis overcame a 2-0 deficit entering the 3rd period by scoring 4 unanswered goals to secure the win. Although Miller wasn’t called upon to be spectacular, he was solid in stopping 22 of 24 Phoenix shots on goal. Ott centered a line between wingers Derek Roy and T.J. Oshie.

Before they get to the playoffs the Blues will look to overtake Chicago for the Central Division title, and catch Anaheim for the #1 seed in the Western Conference. Home ice advantage for the Blues would be huge considering this club has lost just 5 of their first 30 home games during regulation time. Following tonight’s game the Blues will embark on a 3-game in 4-day road trip that begins on Friday at Nashville. 

Making Their Final Push 

Tonight will be the final of a tough 4-game in 6-day road trip that Tampa Bay has had to endure following the Olympic break. They’re just 1-2 on the current trip following 6-3 loss on Sunday at the hands of the Colorado Avalanche. The good news is that the Lightning will play 14 of their final 20 regular season games on home ice. You can safely say that the Lightning is the biggest surprise in the entire Eastern Conference this season. They’ve continued to have success despite being without their star player Steven Stamkos who’s been sidelined since breaking his leg at Boston last November 3rd. Stamkos had accounted for 45-goals or more in 3 of his first 4 seasons in the NHL. Although he scored just 29-goals a season ago, it’s worth noting it came in a 48-game abbreviated schedule due to the NHL Players Union going on strike. The Lightning is a respectable 17-17 versus the money line on the road this season.


NHL Betting System

Any home team with a total of 5.5 that’s allowed 2-goals or less in each of their last 3-games, versus an opponent that allowed 5-goals or more in their previous game, has seen 42 of those 54-games (77.1%) go under the total in the last 5 seasons.

Free Pick: Tampa Bay/St. Louis to go under 5.5
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