NHL Picks Kings -135 vs. Red Wings

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, January 18, 2014 4:37 PM GMT

The Red Wings host the Kings on Saturday at the Joe Louis Arena in Detroit, Michigan with the opening puck drop slated for 7:05 PM ET. Let's take a look at the NHL betting system to find the value picks for this match-up.

Los Angeles Kings vs. Detroit Red Wings

According to NHL betting odds the Kings are a -135 money line road favorite and the posted total is 5.0. The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two clubs. The Kings have won just 5 of their last 28-games played at Detroit. These teams haven’t seen any of their last 4 meetings go over the total.

Goals are at a Premium for the Red Wings

Detroit is in dire need of some goal scoring. The Red Wings have been shutout in each of their previous 2-games, and have scored just 4-goals combined over their last 4-games. Hopefully for their sake returning home will be the medicine to cure the painful goal scoring drought. This will be the Red Wins first home game since New Year’s Day, after playing their last 5, and 7 of their last 8-games on the road. Unfortunately the Red Wings have dropped 7 of the last 8, and 15 of their last 18 at home. As a matter of fact Detroit is a horrible 6-17 versus the money line at home this year. Tonight will be the first of a 5-game in 9-day home stand for the Red Wings. Detroit enters tonight 6th in the Atlantic Division, and is tied for 11th overall in the Eastern Conference.

A Quick Turnaround

The Los Angeles Kings are the best in the NHL when it comes to scoring defense allowing a paltry 2.0 goals per game. It's clear why they are favored by online sportsbooks. They also lead the league with 8 shutouts. They’ve accomplished these stellar defensive statistics all despite being without their star goaltender Jonathan Quick for about 7 weeks. Quick has been outstanding since his return on January 4th versus Vancouver. In 6 starts since the return, Quick has posted an excellent .957 save percentage. Prior to Quick’s return the Kings had lost 5 games in a row. They’ve gone 4-2 since having earned 9 of 12-points possible, all of which came with Quick as their starter. The Kings have gone over the total in just 2 of their last 15-games. This will be the 2nd of a 5-game in 8-day road trip for Los Angeles. They started the trip with an impressive 4-1 win at St. Louis on Thursday. Los Angeles is a very respectable 13-10 on the road versus the money line this year. Entering today Los Angeles is 3rd in the Pacific Division, and 6th overall in the Western Conference.

NHL Betting Systems

Any team (Detroit) that’s playing their 5th game or less in the last 14-days, and is coming off a road shutout loss, has seen 32 of those 40-games (80%) go under the total since the beginning of the 2009-2010 year.

Free Pick: Kings/Red Wings to go under the total of 5.0

Any money line favorite (Los Angeles) that’s allowed 1-goal or less in each of their previous 2-games, versus a team (Detroit) that averages 0.2 goals or more in their first period than their opponents, and this game takes place in the 2nd half of the season, has gone 49-13 (79%) since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. We'll count on L.A. to take this one for our NHL pick.

Free Pick: Kings -135 over the Red Wings

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