NHL Picks: Jets vs. Blackhawks

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, November 6, 2013 2:07 PM GMT

The Chicago Blackhawks host the Winnipeg Jets at the United Center. Have we decided to look at the money line or the total for tonights NHL pick?

According to NHL betting odds Chicago is a large -270 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen their last 4 meetings all go over the total. The Hawks have defeated the Jets in their last 5 encounters. These clubs have met once already this season with Chicago winning on the road 5-1 last Friday evening.

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Let’s get it Started

The Winnipeg Jets have been able to generate enough scoring opportunities for most of the season. The problem is they’ve had difficulty cashing in on their chances. Despite the Jets being 5th in the NHL averaging 32.4 shots on goal per game, they rank just 23rd at just 2.3 goals per game. One of the biggest concerns is a power play which has converted a mere 9.8% of its chances this season which ranks 29th in the league. The Jets do come off a momentum building win at home on Monday night 4-2 over the Detroit Red Wings. The loss snapped a 3-game losing streak.

The Jets have seen just 1 of their 6 road games this season go over the total. The Jets are a dismal 5-21 in their last 26-games versus Central Division opponents. Winnipeg is 0-4 in their last 4-games following a win.

Plight of a Defending Champion

The Hawks have had a target on their heads since the onset of the season in their role as defending Stanley Cup champions. For the most part they’ve been up to the challenge, and have relished being cast as the villain. The Hawks scoring depth has been apparent early on as they rank 3rd in the NHL averaging 3.3 goals per game and 2nd in the league with 34.6 shots on goal per contest. Chicago has scored 5-goals or more in 4 of their last 6-games. The Hawks had their 3-game win streak broken at home on Sunday in a 3-2 overtime loss to the Calgary Flames. The Hawks outshot the Flames in the loss 44-30.

Chicago has gone over the total in 5 of their last 6-games. The Hawks have gone under the total in 6 of their last 8 at home. They’re a terrific 41-12 in their last 53-games versus an opponent with a money line win percentage of less than .400.

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NHL Totals Super Angle

Any road team with a total of 5.5 that comes off a home win by 2-goals or more, and is playing with same season revenge in which their opponent scored 5-goals or more has seen 56 of those 79-games (70.9%) go under the total since the start of the 2009-2010 year. I recommend the readers take the UNDER for the total of 5.5 for their NHL pick.

NHL Pick: Winnipeg/Chicago to go under the total of 5.5