NHL Picks Islanders vs. Rangers to go Under

Ross Benjamin

Friday, December 20, 2013 2:10 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 20, 2013 2:10 PM GMT

The Rangers host the Islanders at Madison Square Garden on Friday with the opening faceoff slated for 7:05 PM ET. Let's find out where the value lies here after taking a look at the NFL odds.

According to NHL betting odds the Rangers are a -150 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.0. The Rangers have won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Home Bitter Home

The Rangers just can’t seem to get it going on home ice. They’ve lost 6 of their last 7, and 9 of the last 11-games at Madison Square Garden. Their latest defeat at MSG occurred in Wednesday’s 4-3 overtime shootout loss to a shorthanded Pittsburgh Penguins team. On a positive note, they were able to overcome a 2-goal 3rd period deficit, and tied the game on a goal from Derik Brassard with just 1:46 to play in the 3rd period, which enabled them to at least earn 1-point. The loss dropped the Rangers to 1-5 on this current 9-game home stand. The Rangers have gone under the total in just 1 of their last 6-games. At the time of this writing the Rangers were in a 3-way tied for 4th place in the Metropolitan Division, and were tied with 3 other teams for 9th overall in the Eastern Conference.

NHL Picks: Friday Picks of the Day

It Just Can’t Get any Worse

The Islanders have lost 3 in a row, and 13 of their last 14 heading into tonight’s battle with their biggest rival. Their most recent game on Tuesday typified how bad things have gone for the Isles. They held a 2-0 lead late in the 3rd period at home versus Tampa Bay, and then allowed the Lightning to score 2-goals in the final 3-minutes of regulation time, with the last of the 2 coming with just 0:04 to play. They subsequently lost the game 3-2 in an overtime shootout. The Islanders are 8th in the 8-team Metropolitan Division, and 15th overall out of 16-teams in the Eastern Conference. They’ve gone under the total in 8 of their last 11-games. They’re also 29th in the NHL allowing 3.4 goals per game, and are dead last in penalty killing, allowing opponents to convert on 27.8% of their power play chances.

NHL Totals Super System

Any team that has a -0.65 or worse goal per game differential on the season, and they lost their previous 2-games in overtime, has seen 35 of those 47-games (74.5%) to under the total since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. We'll take the Under for our NHL pick.

Free Pick: Islanders/Rangers to go under the total of 5.0

[gameodds]7/250726/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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