NHL Picks: Home Advantage Will Help Red Wings To Stop Bruins

Dana Lane

Sunday, February 14, 2016 12:42 PM GMT

Sunday, Feb. 14, 2016 12:42 PM GMT

The Boston Bruins and the Detroit Red Wings will battle today for sole possession of second place in the Atlantic Disvion. Find out who we like for our NHL picks.

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Free NHL Pick: Detroit -145
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Boston Bruins
The Boston Bruins (30-19-6 66pts) have finally wiped the taste of a 9-2 loss to the Los Angles Kings out of their mouth by winning two straight games enabling them to spring ahead of the Detroit Red Wings (28-18-9 65pts), a team they've had very little trouble beating. The Bruins have been victorious against Detroit 10 of their last 11 games but this seems like an opportunity to back the Wings. 

Boston has won back to back road games and may feel a little sense of accomplishment where the Wings know they can't lose a game of this magnitude on home ice. So much of wagering is determining which team is in a better frame of mind or emotional state. If I'm a Bruins fan I use this game as a barometer of what kind of guts my team has. 

Remember in the offseason they traded away Milan Lucic, Dougie Hamilton, Reily Smith, and Carl Soderberg while adding Matt Beleskey and Jimmy Hayes. Their subtraction may have left them a little less physically intimidating, a factor that wins a lot of big games. This is the first opportunity to see if Don Sweeney has put together a Bruin team with guts. 

The Bruins could be without Patrice Bergeron again who is extremely valuable in the face off circle. Bergeron didn't play in Minnesota Saturday after he dropped the gloves with Blake Wheeler of the Jets early in the week. To beat the coldest team in the league without Bergeron is one thing, to play Detroit without him will make a noticeable difference on Sunday considering they will be a little thin a center. Without Bergeron it will be Marchand, Spooner, and Connolly on the top line. He is supposed to travel to Detroit but no official word on his status. 

 

Detroit Red Wings
Detroit could easily be 4-0 on their current home stand. They lost in a shootout to Colorado, 3-2, Friday in a game they clearly dominated, out shooting the Avalanche 45-21. In their current four game home stretch, the Wings have allowed only four goals. If the line of Darren Helm, Luke Glendening, and Riley Sheahan continues to produce, that will give the Red Wings incredible depth offensively and physically, a factor especially important when the Bruins depth is in question. 

Petr Mrazek will get the start for Detroit in goal on his 24th Birthday. Boston has not named a goaltender but Tuuka Rask is likely considering Jonas Gustavsson started Saturday.

 

Betting Analysis
If you're a trend player, then you will want to take into account a couple interesting trends when handicapping this game. The Bruins are on a small 0-4 streak against teams that have a winning record.

Detroit has won seven on their last eight when playing on one day's rest. Speaks to their conditioning. In addition, the Wings have beaten Eastern Conference teams in five of their last seven games. 

Totals players take note that the 'Under' is 31-15-7 when Detroit plays a team with a winning record. But with Detroit at -145 in the NHL odds boards, we are taking them to bring down Bruins for our NHL picks.

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