NHL Picks: Flyers Will Take The Home Win Against Flames

Swinging Johnson

Monday, February 29, 2016 5:13 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 29, 2016 5:13 PM UTC

The Calgary Flames have been doused recently; having dropped their last four games while Philadelphia has seen an uptick in their performance. Let’s review the NHL odds now!

Calgary Flames (26-35 SU, -7.4 units)
The only aspect of the Flames performance that they can hang their collective hats on this season has been their offense. Calgary is 11th in goals scored averaging 2.7 per game but aside from that small silver lining in a stormy season their defense and special teams have been woeful. The Flames rank dead last in goals allowed surrendering 3.1 per game while their power play and penalty killing units rank 29th and 30th respectively.

In their last outing Saturday night the Flames dropped a 6-4 decision to the Senators. The NHL odds makers made the home team a narrow favorite but the Flames proved incapable of holding a 4-2 third period advantage as Ottawa’s Mika Zibanejad scored a natural hat-trick in the span of only 2:38 followed by an empty net tally by teammate Jean-Gabriel Pageau. It was the Flames’ seventh loss in eight games and the 13th of a 20-game suspension currently being served by Calgary’s Dennis Wideman.


Philadelphia Flyers (28-33 SU, -2.7 units)
The Flyers and Devils are tied with 67 points and trail Pittsburgh for the eighth and final playoff spot with 21 and 19 games remaining on their respective schedules. The good news for Flyers fans is that they are currently in the midst of a good roll winning three of their last four and facing the lowly Calgary Flames tonight. Philadelphia is ranked 23rd in goals scored averaging just 2.5 per contest while their defense has been holding their opponents to 2.6 goals per game which ranks them 15th of 30 teams.

The Flyers last took the ice on Saturday night against the Arizona Coyotes after a 3-2 victory over the Wild two days earlier. Captain Claude Giroux had been sitting for the past three games with an injury but returned to notch his 500th career point en route to a 4-2 home win. All those who included the Flyers in their NHL picks were rewarded after laying the heavy lumber of -155 and saw Philly win the second in a row of what is a six-game homestand. Michal Neuvirth may have stolen the starting role between the pipes from Steve Mason. Neuvirth made 29 saves in the victory over Arizona and has started the last three games.


Betting Analysis
Dating back to last season the Flames have defeated the Flyers over the course of their last three meetings including a 2-1 decision in Calgary back in November. Yet we should understand that the Flames are 9-20 straight up and -8.2 units on the road this season while Philadelphia is 15-15 straight up and -2.2 units at home.

It appears as though the Flyers have their mojo firmly intact headed into this one while the Flames are merely playing out the string. In addition, Claude Giroux will be in uniform and if his performance in his first game back on Saturday night is any indication it looks like the Flyers captain hasn’t missed a beat. While laying -155 on a team whose postseason chances are dicey at best we must address their opponents tonight. Calgary is not a good team this season and on the road they have been even more miserable. Every point counts for the Flyers who are desperately trying to close the gap on Pittsburgh for the final spot in the East while the Flames are too busy making vacation plans once the regular season ends.

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NHL Pick: Flyers -155 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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