NHL Picks: Flyers vs. Ducks to go Under

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, January 30, 2014 3:34 PM GMT

The Ducks host the Flyers on Thursday at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California with the opening puck drop scheduled for 10:05 PM ET. Let's take a look at the NHL odds to find our picks for this match-up.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Anaheim Ducks

According to NHL betting odds Anaheim is a -190 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These clubs have seen 9 of their last 11 meetings in Anaheim go over the total.

Back on Track

The Flyers were able to snap a 4-game losing streak with a 5-0 home win over the Detroit Red Wings on Tuesday. It was a very positive sign for a Flyers team that had allowed 3 goals or more in their last 9, and 4-goals or more in 7 of their last 9-games prior to Tuesday’s win. The Flyers have held their own on their road going 12-14 versus the money line in their last 26 away games. The Flyers should be well rested tonight since this will only be their 2nd game in the last 5 days. They’ve been very productive in this exact scenario over the last 3 seasons, going 18-9 versus the money line when playing their 2nd game in the last 5-days. Despite going under the total in their previous game, the Flyers have gone over the number in 6 of their last 8. They’ve also gone over the total in all 5-games this season after losing 3 of their last 4.

Check out our sportsbook reviews before placing your bets!

Not Totally Invincible at Home

The Anaheim Ducks come off a very rare 4-2 home loss to the Minnesota Wild on Tuesday. It marked just the 3rd time this season that the Ducks have lost a home game in regulation time. After going through a recent stretch where they went 18-1 versus the money line, the Ducks are just 3-3 over their last 6-games, and 2 of those losses have occurred on home ice. Despite their brief bout with mediocrity, the Ducks still have a comfortable lead atop the Pacific Division, and remain 1st overall in the Western Conference.

NHL Betting System

Before we make our NHL picks, let's take a look at some trends. Any team (Philadelphia) that’s revenging a loss as a home favorite, and has a money line winning percentage of between .400 to .490 on the season versus an opponent with a winning record on the money line, has seen 93 of those 145-games (64.2%) go under the total since the beginning of the 1996-1997 year.

Free Pick: Philadelphia/Ottawa to go under the total of 5.5.

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