NHL Picks: Flyers To Come Out Victorious Over Hopeless Canadiens

Bruce Webster

Tuesday, February 2, 2016 2:22 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2016 2:22 PM UTC

Montreal Canadiens meet the Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday night at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. Review along with our capper which are the best NHL picks.

Montreal Canadiens vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Lines: Philadelphia -127/ Montreal +115
Total: 5
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Free NHL Pick: Philadelphia -114
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


The Montreal Canadiens (24-22-3-1 SU, 25-25 PL, 23-19-18 OU) went into their break off a pair of 5-2 loss to the Columbus Blue Jackets and they have now lost seven of their last eight games, while the Philadelphia Flyers (21-18-4-4 SU, 28-19 PL, 17-19-11 OU) went into their break on a high note after taking down the Capitals on the road in OT. The home team has won 20 of the last 27 in the series.


Canadiens Lose Two To Blue Jackets
Can things get any worse for the Canadiens? This team started out the year hot, but then they went into a serious tailspin and just haven’t been able to climb out of it ever since. The Habs had a chance to turn things around as they were facing Columbus for two games in a row, but even that was too much for the team as they lost both encounter and by identical 5-2 scores. The Canadiens have now won just five of their last 24 games, and because of that, they are currently sitting in 11th place in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. They still have time to make up ground, but losing two in a row to the worst team in the league doesn’t help matters. This is a team with a lot of problems at the moment.

The slide really started for Montreal when they lost goalie Carey Price, who was 10-2 with a 2.06 GAA before getting injured. Mike Condon started out strong when he was the backup, going 6-1 in his first seven starts, but has since gone just 7-16. For the year, he is just 13-17 with a 2.45 GAA. Condon should get the start here and is also 7-7 with a 2.67 GAA and this will be his first ever start vs the Flyers. This team clearly needs Price back in goal, and soon. The Canadiens check in at 20th in the league in goals allowed, giving up 2.7 gpg, despite the fact that they are 4th in shots allowed (27.4 spg) and 6th in penalty kill (84.3%). On offense, the Canadiens are 10th in the league in scoring, putting up 2.7 gpg, but just 22nd in power play conversions, converting on 17.4% of their chances.


Flyers Shock Capitals On The Road
The Washington Capitals have the best record in the league overall and were 18-4 at home prior to their meeting with Philadelphia right before the break, but that didn’t stop the Flyers from coming up with a shocking 4-3 OT over Washington at the Verizon Center on Wednesday night. Jakub Voracek led the charge for the Flyers as he notched his first two-goal output of the year, which included getting the game winner just 38 seconds into the OT period. Voracek now has eight goals on the year. Also scoring for the Flyers was Brayden Schenn, which was his 12th of the year and Ryan White, who notched his 5th of the year, while Shayne Gostisbehere and Claude Giroux each had two assists in the win as well.

Grabbing the win for the Flyers was Michal Neuvirth, who stopped 27 shots to grab his 3rd win in his last four starts. He should get the start in this game as Mason is dealing with an injury at the moment and Neuvirth is 11-8 with a 2.14 GAA on the year, including 6-3 with a 1.93 GAA at home, while vs the Canadiens he is 6-5 with a 2.17 GAA in his career. The Flyers have not been a very good offensive team this year as they come in at 27th in scoring, putting up just 2.3 gpg,. while converting on just 17.4% of their power play chances, which is 21st. On defense they come in at 15th in goals allowed, giving up 2.6 gpg, while allowing teams to convert on 22% of their power play chances, which is 29th in the league.


Trends for Montreal:
5-16 in their last 21 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game
1-7 in their last eight vs. the Metropolitan


Trends for Philadelphia:
11-1 their last 12 at home in this series


Betting Analysis
I just can’t back a team that lost two straight to the Blue Jackets and are now just 5-19 in their last 24 games, plus we note that they are just 1-11 in their last 12 trips here. Mike Condon has really struggled for the Habs this year, while Michal Neuvirth has been solid for the Flyers and has a 1.93 GAA at home, plus he has good numbers vs the Canadiens in his career. I see the Flyers coming up with a big win here over the fading Canadiens.

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