NHL Picks: Flyers & Canucks Will Bang the Puck in High Scoring Affair

Ross Benjamin

Monday, November 2, 2015 7:51 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 2, 2015 7:51 PM GMT

Our NHL handicapping professional provides us with a betting preview on Monday’s game between Philadelphia and Vancouver. Join us in reading this article with a free NHL pick on the total.

Monday NHL East versus West Battle
The Flyers and Canucks meet on Monday in a non-conference matchup. The opening faceoff at the Rogers Arena in Vancouver is slated for 10:05 PM ET. According to current NHL betting odds at Heritage, Vancouver is a -151 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. The Canucks won both games against Philadelphia a season ago, and outscored them by a decisive margin of 8-1.

 

Expected Starting Goaltenders
In all likelihood we’ll be seeing Steve Mason between the pipes tonight for Philadelphia. Mason has struggled in three road starts this season, evidenced by a horrible .845 save percentage in those outings.

Barring something unforeseen, Ryan Miller will be in goal for Vancouver on Monday. Miller has tailed off a bit since beginning the year red-hot. Although his save percentage is a respectable .907 during the previous four starts, it’s well below Miller’s season average of .923.

 

Skinny on Both Teams
Philadelphia will enter Monday’s game on a much needed two days rest. Prior to this brief sabbatical, they played three games in four days, and came out on the short end in all of those contests. In Philadelphia’s last five games, they’ve averaged 34.8, and allowed 35.6 shots on goal per game. That certainly signifies games in which there was a lot of end-to-end action.

After starting the season 3-1, Vancouver has gone just 2-5 in their last seven games. On the positive side, they’re coming off a 4-3 road win against Arizona this past Friday. Similar to tonight’s opponent, the Canucks will be playing on two days rest, and their last three games all came in a span of four days.

 

NHL Totals Betting Angle
The Vancouver Canucks have gone over the total in each of their previous three games. Vancouver enters today averaging 2.91 goals per game this season. On the other side of the table, Philadelphia is averaging 2.10 goals per game. The combination of those three statistical factors qualifies for a very profitable NHL totals betting angle that’s illustrated below.

Any home team (Canucks) with a total of 5.0 or less, coming off three or more games in a row that went over the total, and they’re averaging 2.90 or more goals per game on the season, versus an opponent (Flyers) averaging 2.50 or less goals per game, resulted in those games going 51-24 (68%) over the total since 1996.

Whenever I assess any of my applicable technical betting methods having to do with all sports, my number one concern is: does it make sense?. This one is certainly a logical handicapping equation with all things being considered. As a result, it’s an instrumental handicapping tool for making one of my NHL picks on Monday.

Free NHL Pick: Play on Over the total of 5.0 (-105) at Heritage.

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