NHL Picks: Ducks vs. Red Wings Game 4

David Lawrence

Monday, May 6, 2013 1:03 PM UTC

Monday, May. 6, 2013 1:03 PM UTC

We’ve seen the Red Wings turn into Jekyll and Hyde with two no-show efforts in Games 1 and 3, but also a quality performance in Game 2. Which side should we back in Game 4?

For a brief second, it looked like the Detroit Red Wings had grabbed control of this series after their 5-4 win in Game 2. However, that home-ice advantage didn’t last long as the Red Wings were shut out 4-0 at home in Game 3.


The Anaheim Ducks can win because… 

They have clearly been the better team. When you start evaluating this series, the Ducks dominated Games 1 and 3. In Game 2, they fell asleep in the opening period but were even with the Red Wings in the second and outplayed them in the third. In other words, other than the first 20 minutes of Game 2, the Red Wings have been outplayed in every other period. 

People making their NHL picks should see some red flags in regards to the Red Wings goaltending. Through three games, the Red Wings have given up 10 goals and have allowed at least three in each game. Detroit isn’t going to win this series – or maybe even Game 4 – if they need to score at least four goals per game. 

The Detroit Red Wings can win because… 

They are a good bounce-back team. While the Red Wings offense has struggled at times this season, it doesn’t tend to struggle two times in a row. The Red Wings showed that in Game 2 where they netted five goals after a one-goal output in Game 1. On the season, Detroit is 9-3 following a game where they scored one goal or less. 

Look for the Red Wings offense to show up in Game 4 and make things more competitive. 

Outlook & Pick 

Laying -125 with Detroit – given how they’ve played in this series – seems a bit crazy. NHL odds should list this game as a PICK. I was wrong with the over in Game 3 but I’ll take a shot in Game 4 because the Red Wings will need to score to win. 

NHL Pick: Over 5 at Bet365
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