NHL Picks for Capitals vs. Senators

Ross Benjamin

Monday, December 30, 2013 6:36 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 30, 2013 6:36 PM GMT

The Senators host the Capitals on Monday at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada with a scheduled start time of 7:35 PM ET. 

According to NHL betting odds Ottawa is a -130 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. Ottawa has won the last 5 meetings between these two clubs. The Senators are also 8-2 in their last 10 home games versus the Capitals. These clubs have seen 9 of their last 12 meetings go under the total. They’ve met once already this season in Washington and Ottawa prevailed 6-4 on November 27th.

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Caps Look to Bounce Back

The Capitals deserved a better fate in Sunday’s 2-1 overtime shootout loss at Buffalo. They outshot the Sabres 50-16 in the game but were thwarted by the excellent goaltending of Buffalo’s Ryan Miller who made 49 saves in the win. Tonight will be Washington’s 3rd game in the last 4-days. The Capitals have gone under the total in their last 3-games. Despite the loss to the lowly Sabres, the Capitals are still a very profitable 21-10 in their last 31-games versus an opponent with a losing record. Washington has also gone over the total in just 1 of their last 7-games when playing with no rest. The Capitals are 2nd in the NHL on the power play converting on a stellar 25.5% of their chances.

Up and Down Senators

The Senators come off a couple of recent impressive home wins over the top two teams in the Eastern Conference. Last Monday they defeated Pittsburgh 5-0, and in their most recent home game they were a 4-3 winner over the Boston Bruins. Unfortunately sandwiched between those 2-wins was a dismal performance in a 5-0 loss at Boston. An encouraging sign for the Senators has been the recent play of Craig Anderson in goal. He was between the pipes in those 2 recent wins and stopped 56 of 59 shots on goal. This will also be the Senators 3rd game in the last 4-days. The Senators are 1-4 in their last 5 when playing their 3rd game in 4-days, and they’ve gone over the total in 6 of their last 8-games when playing their 3rd game in 4-days.

NHL Betting System

Play against any home team with a money line of -100 to -150 that’s coming off a home game in which both teams scored 3-goals or more, and their playing their 3rd game in the last 4-days. If you have played on the visiting team in this exact situation you would be 23-8 (74.2%) versus the money line since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season. Take Washington over Ottawa for your NHL picks.

NHL Pick: Washington +110 over Ottawa

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