NHL Picks Canucks vs. Ducks to go Under

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, January 5, 2014 4:12 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 5, 2014 4:12 PM UTC

The Ducks host the Canucks on Sunday at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California with a start time of 8:05 PM ET. Join our handicapper as he goes over the NHL odds to find the value for this one.

Vancouver Canucks @ Anaheim Ducks

According to NHL betting odds Anaheim is a -160 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen just 6 of their last 21 meetings stay under the total. The road team has won 5 of the last 7-games between these teams.

The Standings

The Anaheim Ducks currently lead the Pacific Division, and hold a 7-point lead over the 2nd place San Jose Sharks. The Ducks are also 2nd overall in the Western Conference just 1-point behind the Chicago Blackhawks who hold the top spot.

The Vancouver Canucks are currently 4th in the Pacific Division 4-points ahead of the 5th place Phoenix Coyotes. Vancouver is 7th overall in the Western Conference just 3-points behind both the Los Angeles Kings, and the Colorado Avalanche. Hypothetically if the season were to end today, the Ducks and Canucks would be squaring off in the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

In a Temporary Funk

Vancouver enters tonight’s game having lost 3 in a row. Their most recent loss came last night at Los Angeles 3-1. The Canucks led last night’s game 1-0 entering the 3rd period, but allowed 3 unanswered goals in the final stanza, and found themselves on the losing end. Despite the loss Roberto Luongo was terrific in goal stopping 46 of 48 shots on net. The last Kings goal was scored with 0:55 to go, and came only after the Canucks pulled Luongo for an extra attacker. The Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5-games when playing with no rest. Vancouver has seen just 4 of their last 20-games go over the total when playing with no rest. They’ve also seen 6 of their last 7-games played on a Sunday go under the total.

Invincible at Home

The Anaheim Ducks have started the season by failing to lose any of their first 18 home games in regulation time. They’ve earned an incredible 34 of 36-points possible this season at the Honda Center. The Ducks enter tonight’s contest sizzling hot having won their last 2, and 12 of their last 13-games. Tonight will be the 3rd of a 4-game in 9-day home stand for Anaheim. Anaheim has gone 6-1 this season when playing on a Sunday.

Getting it done on Both Ends

The Anaheim Ducks are 3rd in the NHL averaging 3.3 goals per game, and are 7th allowing just 2.4 goals per contest. They’ve scored 4 or more goals in a game on 16 occasions already this season. The Ducks Ryan Getzlaf is currently tied for 3rd in the NHL scoring race with 47-points. His teammate Corey Perry is tied for 8th in league scoring with 43-points. Perry’s 22-goals this season are 7th best in the NHL. Sportsbooks have started to notice trends as the Ducks are a perfect 14-0 versus the money line at home this season when the total is exactly 5.5. Anaheim has gone 12-3 on the money line overall this year after scoring 4-goals or more in their previous game.

NHL Betting System

Any home team with a total of 5.5 that’s coming off 2 consecutive wins with each coming by 3-goals or more, versus an opponent that comes off a loss by 2-goals or more, has seen 50 of those 72-games (69.4%) go under the total since the beginning of the 1996/1997 year. We'll count on this one staying below the total for our NHL pick.

Free Pick: Vancouver/Anaheim to go under the total of 5.5


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