NHL Picks: Canadiens vs. Senators

David Schwab

Monday, February 25, 2013 6:13 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 25, 2013 6:13 PM UTC

This Monday marks the third time this season that the Montreal Canadiens and the Ottawa Senators will meet with the series tied at one game apiece. All the action from Scotiabank Place is slated to get underway at 4:30 p.m. (PT) and the game will be available on NHL Center Ice.

Canadiens Overview

The Canadiens remain one of the hottest teams in the league. A 6-2-2 record in their last 10 games has them tied with Pittsburgh at the top of the Eastern Conference standings with 26 points. They have been a tough out on the road this season with a 4-1-1 record in their first six games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of its last six games overall.

Balance has been the key to Montreal’s 12-4-2 record in its first 18 games. It is averaging 2.8 goals a game while boasting a goals-against-average of 2.1. The Canadiens are ranked 10th in the league on the power play while posting an effective 82.5 percent power play kill rate on the other end of the ice. Carey Price has spent the majority of the time in goal for Montreal and he has compiled a GAA of 1.97 and a .923 save percentage in 14 previous games. 

Senators Overview

Ottawa remains right on the Canadiens’ heals in the Northeast Division with 24 points. It has won its last four games including back-to-back 3-2 victories over the New York Rangers and Toronto as home underdogs to improve to 11-6-2 on the year. It is 8-1-2 at home this season and 4-2 against the division. The total has stayed UNDER in six of its last nine games.

Shutdown defense continues to be the Senators’ strong suit this season. They are ranked second in the league in goals allowed with a GAA of just 1.8. They are also one of the best teams in the NHL at killing off power plays with an 88.7 percent kill rate. Craig Anderson has been a virtual wall in goal with a 1.49 GAA to go along with save percentage of .952.

Canadiens vs. Senators Betting Lines and Trends

NHL odds makers have opened Montreal as a 121 road favorite for this matchup with the Senators listed as 110 underdogs at home. The total for this game has been set at 5.

The Canadiens are 4-9 in their last 13 road games and 2-5 in their last seven games against the Northeast Division. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games playing on one day’s rest.

The Senators are 4-0 in their last four home games and 5-1 in their last six games after allowing two or less goals in their previous outing. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of their last 23 home games.

Head-to-head in this matchup, the home team has won the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six games. Ottawa won the first meeting this season 5-1 as a 144 home favorite. Montreal returned the favor with a 2-1 victory on its home ice as a 125 favorite.


Canadiens vs. Senators Free NHL Pick

While a play on the UNDER is a solid option considering how stingy each team has been this season on defense, the free NHL pick in this division rivalry remains with the Senators, as the home winning streak in this series get extended to six games.

Senators 2   Canadiens 1 (lines provided by BetOnline)

Year-to-Date NHL Record: 16-7-2

Take a look at our NHL Picks of the Day article for more free plays.
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