NHL Picks: Canadiens vs. Senators Game 4

PJ Laferla

Tuesday, May 7, 2013 1:55 PM GMT

Through three games, this Eastern Conference first-round series has turned out to be more of a slugfest than a hockey contest, with Ottawa out-muscling the Canadiens; resulting in two big victories and the opportunity to push Montreal to the brink of elimination if they can capture another win tonight on their home ice.


Game 4 Free Pick: Canadiens vs. Senators

The Senators, who lead the best of seven, first round Eastern Conference series 2-1 will host Game 4 tonight when they welcome in the visiting Canadiens to the Scotiabank Place in Ottawa, Ontario.

Game time is set for 7:00 pm ET and can be seen live on television, with national broadcast coverage provided by CNBC.

For Game 4, online sportsbooks have pegged the home team Senators as -145 favorites on the money line, while also posting a puck line of -1 ½ goals, with a much more attractive return of +215. Of course, Ottawa will need to win by a margin of at least 2 goals for bettors to cash in a winning ticket on the puck line.

The NHL odds have set the total to 5 goals with a price tag of -110 on both the over and the under. The Senators are 29-14-8 UNDER in their last 51 games played on its home ice.

[gameodds]7/228288/43/us[/gameodds]

Now, let take a closer look at both the Canadiens and Senators so we can decide where the value lies for our sports picks in this crucial Game 4 contest.

Montreal has failed to win their last four games versus the Senators in Ottawa and the home team is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

However, the Canadiens have fared extremely well in the fourth game of a 4 in 6 situation, going a stellar 7-1 in their last 8 in that scenario.

Meanwhile, the Senators are an impressive 10-4 in their last 14 matchups following a game where that scored at least 5 goals in their previous contest. But, they have struggled when hosting a team with a winning record on the highway, producing just one win in their last five in that situation.

Free NHL Pick:

Backing the Canadiens, who are a two-seeded team and +135 underdogs in a must win game against the 7th seeded Senators holds tremendous value for our NHL picks in the contest. I expect Montreal to take care of business and get the job done on the road tonight and more importantly even up the series.

Free Picks: Montreal +135 at 5Dimes