NHL Picks: Canadiens vs. Senators Game 3

David Lawrence

Saturday, May 4, 2013 7:35 PM GMT

Saturday, May. 4, 2013 7:35 PM GMT

The Montreal Canadiens and Ottawa Senators split the first two contests of their best-of-seven series, and now the venue shifts to Ottawa.

 

Let's have a look at the team and handicap the NHL odds for a pick.

For most of the year, the Sens were one of the best home teams in the NHL. However, they’ve lost three straight at home. As for the Habs, they were one of the best road teams for most of the season but lost three of their final five road games. We’ll find out which trends will continue on Sunday. 

The Montreal Canadiens can win because…

They got a great game from Carey Price. Many people were starting to wondering about Price but he led the way on Friday, stopping 29 shots and helping his team to a 3-1 win. 

This series might be tied but Montreal should feel pretty good about themselves. They won Game 2 and probably should have won Game 1 as they put 50 shots on Craig Anderson. Chances are if they keep the pressure on offensively – as they have for the first two games – they’ll steal back home-ice advantage on Sunday. 

The Ottawa Senators can win because… 

They are back at home and that means a lot. Yes, Montreal is good on the road (15-9) but they are also solid at home (14-10). As for Ottawa, the splits are quite different as they are merely 10-14 on the road compared to 15-9 at home. 

Digging deeper, Ottawa allowed 2.38 goals per game on the road this season but at home, that number dips to 1.79. In case you’re wondering, that’s the best home GAA in the NHL. Playing in front of their home audience is a big deal and now that they’ve stolen that advantage, they’ll put it to good use. 

Check out my pick on the Bruins vs the Leafs!

[gameodds]7/228282/43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Outlook & Pick 

This game is a complete coin flip on the side. Who wins is anyone’s guess as these two squads are very evenly matched. 

Instead, I’ll take a shot with the under with my NHL Picks. The NHL odds makers aren’t expecting a high-scoring affair and neither am I. Three of the last four meetings have stayed under and Sunday’s contest should as well. 

Pick: Under at Bovada

Don't forget my Islanders vs. Penguins picks right here1
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