NHL Picks: Blackhawks vs. Kings Game 4

PJ Laferla

Thursday, June 6, 2013 11:16 AM GMT

Free NHL picks for the Game 4 playoff matchup between the Chicago Blackhawks and the LA Kings. Where do we believe that the best value lies for our sports picks tonight?


The Los Angeles Kings will look to continue its success at home on Thursday night when they take on the Chicago Blackhawks in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals.

Face off in this matchup is scheduled for 9:00 pm EST from Staples Center in Los Angeles, CA; and can be seen live on television with national broadcast coverage provided by the NBC Sports Network.

Sportsbooks are siding with the home team in this one, albeit by a slim margin, listing the Kings as -125 favorites on the money line, while offering a return of +105 on the Blackhawks.

Bettors backing the Kings also have the option of giving up -1 ½ goals, with a generous payback of +260 on the NHL odds. Taking the Blackhawks +1 ½ comes at a high cost of -320 and is not recommended.

The games total is set at 4 ½ goals, with a price of -135 on the over, while under bettors can grab +115 on the NHL odds. It’s still early and numbers are always subject to change, but as it stands right now 78.6% of the money is coming in on the under.

[gameodds]7/237680/43/us[/gameodds]

Let’s take a look at both teams coming into this crucial Game 4 matchup and determine where the best value lies for our NHL picks tonight.

Despite the Game 3 loss, the Blackhawks have shown us they are more than capable of winning on the road – especially in Los Angeles where they have taken five of seven versus the Kings. However, Chicago is just 2-5 (overall) in their last seven games played on the highway.

The Blackhawks are under in ten of their last twelve played away from the United Center (10-1-1), including the last four in a row.

Meanwhile, with its Game 3 victory, the Kings pushed their home record to an astounding 40-11 over their last 51 matchups played at Staples Center, which includes a perfect postseason in Los Angeles.

The low-scoring Kings have now stayed under the posted total in 13 of 21 at home (13-4-4) and five of their last seven games played in the Western Conference Finals.

In head to head action, Chicago owns a 14-6 record against Los Angeles in the last 20 games, but the home team is 4-1 in the last five.

Under the total is a frequent trend when these adversaries clash on the ice, as 35 of the last 58 meetings have fallen short of the number (35-18-7), including six of the last eight played in Los Angeles.

Prediction

Chicago offers a much better offense than Los Angeles, who is struggling to score goals as of late. But, this is a home game for the Kings and they usually find ways to win; and tonight won’t be any different.

I like the Kings to win this one as slim favorites and tie the series at two games apiece before heading back to Chicago for Game 5.

NHL Picks: Los Angeles Kings -125 at William Hill