NHL Picks: Bet Senators +100 At Home Against A Tired Bruins Team

Bruce Webster

Saturday, January 9, 2016 5:50 PM GMT

The Boston Bruins crushed the Devils last night after looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss to Washington, while the Ottawa Senators became the latest victim up the Florida Panthers in a 3-2 home loss on Thursday night. The home team has gone 8-3 the last 11 meetings.

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NHL Pick: Ottawa +100

 

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Tuukka Rask is Struggling Again
The Boston goalie has had his ups and downs this year and right now he is on a down turn as he has lost four of his last five starts, which followed a five game winning streak. He has allowed a total of 17 goals in his last five starts, which compares to allowing a total of four goals in his previous five starts. With the boston offense struggling of late they really need the good Tuukka Rask to show up for them on a nightly basis. Tonight they won’t have to worry about having him in goal as he is slated to start the game vs New Jersey on Friday night.

Getting the call in this one will be Jonas Gustavsson, who is 6-4 with a 2.58 GAA, while vs the Senators in his career he has gone 4-3 with a 2.05 GAA. The offense for the Bruins has been slumping some of late as they have scored just 16 goals in their last 7 games, with seven of those goals coming in their win over Ottawa. They do get a boost with the return of Brad Marchand, who was serving a suspension The Bruins check in at 3rd in scoring (3.1 gpg) and 1st in power play conversions (28.4%), while on defense they are 20th in goals allowed (2.7 gpg) and 8th in penalty kill (82.1%).

 

Senators Become Florida’s Latest Victims
The Florida Panthers have been on a roll and following their win over Ottawa on Thursday night they have now won 11 games in a row. The Senators got off 32 shots in the game, but were able to score just two goals. They were scored by Max McCormick, which was his first of the year and Milan Michalek, who notched his 6th of the year. The Sens have had some issues scoring of late as they have now scored just five total goals in their last four games and they have been shutout twice in those four games. This does not have the look of a top 10 offensive team right now.

The Sens check in a 9th in the league in scoring, putting up 2.8 gpg, while converting on 18.9% of their power play chances, which is 15th in the league. On the defensive end of the ice they have had many issues as they come in at 26th in goals allowed, (2.9 gpg), 30th in shots allowed (33.3 spg), while allowing teams to convert on 23% of their power play chances, which is 28th in the league. Taking the loss vs Florida was Craig Anderson, who has now lost three in a row, which includes a 7-3 loss to Boston, in a game that he allowed all seven goals. He is now 7-11 with a 3.44 GAA vs the Bruins in his career.     

Here you can find our NHL Picks of the Day

Trends
Boston is:

1-4 in their last five vs. the Eastern Conference

1-4 their last five trips to Ottawa

Ottawa is:

5-1 in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600

5-2 their last seven home games

 

Betting Analysis
I will go with the Senators with my NHL picks, as they are off a tough loss to Florida and are at home vs. a tired Boston team that played last night in New Jersey. Neither team is really playing all that well at the moment, but I do feel that the Sens have a better shot at getting on track here than Boston does. Look for the Bruins to run out of game late in this one and take the Senators at +100 NHL odds.