NHL Picks: Bet A More Motivated Predators To Win Against Stars

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, March 1, 2016 7:07 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 1, 2016 7:07 PM UTC

The Dallas Stars are reeling from their lofty perch in the West dropping six of their last seven contests while the Predators are surging with four consecutive wins. Let’s examine the NHL odds.

Dallas Stars (38-26, +2.2 units)
Since their losing skein began on February 16th in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Blues, Dallas has allowed an average of 4.28 goals per game during this seven game stretch. They had been the top team in the West but now the defending Stanley Cup champion Blackhawks have caught them and both teams stand atop the Western Conference with 83 points in 64 games. The Stars will need to awake from their slumber if they are to lock up the number one seed heading into the postseason.

The Red Wings came to town on Sunday and that was definitely not good news for the Stars who had dropped their previous six consecutive games to Detroit. After the final buzzer sounded that streak rose to seven as Pavel Datsyuk scored the winner in overtime to defeat Dallas in their own building 3-2. The Stars may have eked out a point but that did little to console those who backed the Stars in their NHL picks as -145 home chalk.


Nashville Predators (31-32, -11.4 units)
The Predators hit the highway recently with stops in Montreal, Toronto and finally Chicago. It was a three-game road trip that could not have gone any better as Nashville swept the board and came home to face St. Louis for a Saturday matinee performance. It proved to be the most impressive of their four most recent victories considering they blanked the powerful Blues 5-0 as -135 NHL odds favorites. Twenty-one-year-old Filip Forsberg was immense in the victory scoring a hat trick, his second in four days, all in the second period to put the game out of reach. Forsberg leads the team with 26 tallies on the season.

Though the offense has been clicking for Nashville during their recent run it has been the outstanding play of veteran netminder and last season’s Vezina Trophy finalist Pekka Rinne that has turned the fortunes for the Predators. Over his last five starts Rinne has allowed just four goals and became only the fifth active NHL goaltender to record at least 40 career shutouts. Rinne is unconfirmed as tonight’s starter but if he gets the night off expect the more than capable backup Carter Hutton to get the nod.


Betting Analysis
Dallas has won both meetings this season with Nashville but the tides seem to be turning for both clubs. We realize this losing streak for the Stars will not continue in perpetuity while the Predators will remind no one of the ’76-’77 Canadiens regardless of how long their winning ways continue. But for this matchup tonight we cannot help but feel the home team is the right side to back. As good as Dallas has been this season they are just 18-15 on the highway returning just ½ a unit to their investors.

While it is always a tempting proposition to get plus money on a team as good as the Stars each opportunity must be gauged within the construct of the teams’ most recent games. Eventually Dallas will right their rudderless ship but in this spot, on the road against a team as white hot as the Predators with a superb netminder between the pipes and a young gun like Forsberg who cannot be stopped, we will lay the price with the home team in this one tonight.

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NHL Pick: Nashville -135 
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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