NHL Picks: Bet A More Motivated Bruins To Win Against Ducks

Bruce Webster

Tuesday, January 26, 2016 1:31 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 26, 2016 1:31 PM GMT

The Anaheim Ducks come in off a nice 4-3 win road win over Detroit, while the Boston Bruins will be looking to win their 5th in their last six games, who will be our NHL pick?

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NHL Pick: Bruins -128
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Kessler & Perry Lead Ducks over Red Wings
The Anaheim Ducks have been the worst offensive team in the league for much of the year, but that now may be changing. On Saturday they beat the Red Wings 4-3 on the road and it was the 3rd time in their last five games that they scored four goals in a game. That’s an offensive explosion for the Ducks. The heroes of the win over the Red Wings were Corey Perry and Ryan Kesler, who each scored twice in the game. Perry now has 19 goals on the year, which leads the team, while Kesler now has 10, which ties him with Rickard Rakell for 2nd on the team in goals scored. They are the only three Duck players with more than seven goals this year.

Despite the recent offensive explosion, the Ducks are still last in the league in scoring, putting up just 2.0 gpg, but they have been solid on the power play where they have converted 18.7% of their chances, which is 13th in the league. Grabbing the win vs the Red Wings was John Gibson, who has been real impressive this year and if the Ducks continue to improve on offense then he could just lead them on a nice run in the playoffs. Gibson is now 11-9 with a 1.91 GAA on the year and this will be his first ever meeting with Boston. The Ducks check in at 6th in the league in goals allowed, giving up just 2.3 gpg and 1st in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on just 10.6% of their power play chances. 

 

Gustavsson Stops 31 Shots in Win over Columbus
Maybe we should start wondering in Jonas Gustavsson should be the number one goalie for the Bruins. He comes in off a win over Columbus, in which he stopped 31 shots to push his record to 9-4 on the year with a 2.29 GAA. He has won three in a row and has allowed a total of four goals in the three games. As for Rask, he comes in having lost eight of his last 11 starts and is just 16-18 with a 2.47 GAA. Gustavsson is clearly the more consistent goalie right now and maybe he should be getting some more time. He will get the start in this one as Rask is scheduled to start in Philadelphia on Monday and Gustavsson is 2-1 with a 3.50 GAA in his career vs the Ducks.

The Bruins won the game vs the Blue Jackets 3-2 in a shootout. Brad Marchand put up his team leading 19th goal of the year in the win over Columbus, while also scoring in regulation was David Pastrnak, which was his 5th of the year. In the shootout it was Ryan Spooner and Torey Krug who both scored to give Boston the win. The offense has really sputtered of late for Boston as they are just not scoring like they were at the beginning of the year, but still the Bruins  check in at 3rd in the league in scoring, putting up 3.0 gpg, while converting on 26% of their power play chances, which is 2nd in the league. On defense they rank 15th in goals allowed (2.6 gpg) and 5th in penalty kill (84.9%). Let's review the NHL odds and the latest trends now:

 

Anaheim Trends
7-15 in their last 22 road games
2-5 their last seven games vs the Atlantic

Boston Trends
73-35 in their last 108 vs. a team with a losing record
35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400

 

Betting Analysis
The Ducks are playing very well right now, and they will have a day’s rest while Boston won’t, but still I like the Bruins here, especially with Gustavsson in the pipes. He has been their more consistent goalie this year and I feel he will come up with a big effort in this one vs a Ducks offense that is still not that good at all. Play Bruins as the NHL pick, to take what could be a very exciting hockey game.

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