NHL Pick: Capper Favors Oilers -115 on the Money Line Over Maple Leafs

Ross Benjamin

Monday, March 16, 2015 11:02 AM UTC

Monday, Mar. 16, 2015 11:02 AM UTC

Our NHL consultant breaks down Monday’s game involving Toronto & Edmonton in order to determine the best betting value. Read his insightful preview article on this encounter between two horrible teams.

Battle of NHL Futility in Edmonton
The Edmonton Oilers will entertain the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday at 9:35 PM ET. According to the NHL betting odds at Bookmaker, Edmonton is a -115 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5. These teams met in Toronto earlier this season, and the Maple Leafs came away with a 5-1 win. As a matter of fact, Toronto has gone 6-0 in their last six games versus Edmonton, and four of the last five meetings have gone over the total.


Road Woes of Epic Proportions
The Toronto Maple Leafs enters Monday’s game having gone 1-20 against the money line in their previous twenty-one on the road. The road isn’t the only place that Toronto has struggled. The Leafs are 1-5 in the last six, and 8-31 in their previous thirty-nine games overall. Toronto has been a dismal team defensively during their last six contests, allowing 27-goals combined, and that equates to a very lofty 4.5 goals per game.


Oilers Miseries Continue
The Edmonton Oilers will enter tonight on a seven game losing streak, and have also gone 1-9 in their previous ten games. The Oilers have seen each of their previous four contests go over the total, and there was an average of 9.3 goals combined scored per game. During that four game stretch, Edmonton allowed an average of 5.8 goals per contest, and they’ve also scored four goals on three separate occasions. On a positive note, Edmonton has gone a sizzling 8-for-17 (47.1%) on the power play during the past five games. However, opponents have gone 6-for-17 (35.3%) on the power play versus Edmonton during that exact time frame.


Final Analysis
This is one of those situations where you have to choose between the lesser of the two evils. The biggest determining factor for me when making that choice clearly was the total ineptness that Toronto has displayed on the road for an extended period of time. I’m going to lean toward the home side for one of my NHL picks on Monday.

NHL Pick: Play on Edmonton -115 on the money line over Toronto at Bookmaker.

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