NHL Pick: Capper Calls for Low Scoring in 'Canes vs. Pens

Ross Benjamin

Friday, November 28, 2014 2:04 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 28, 2014 2:04 PM UTC

The Penguins and Hurricanes will go to battle tonight in what shapes up to be a lopsided NHL matchup. However, there’s still very good value on the total in this game, and we’ll illustrate why in the following article that also includes a superb NHL betting angle that’s gone 60-18 (76.9%).

Hurricanes in Pittsburgh
The Penguins will host the Hurricanes tonight at the Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh with a slated 7:05 PM ET face-off. The NHL odds at Pinnacle shows the Penguins as a -245 money line favorite, and the posted total at 5.5. The NHL puck-line from BetOnline has Pittsburgh -1.5 (+125) and Carolina +1.5 (-145). This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams. The Penguins won 3 of the 4-games versus the Hurricanes a season ago.


Carolina Cream Puffs
The Carolina Hurricanes are off to a terrible 6-15 money line start to the season. They seemed to be back on the track by winning 4 straight, after losing their first 8-games of the season. However, they enter tonight in another tailspin which has seen them lose the last 3, and 6 of their last 7-games. Tonight will be the finale of a 5-game in 11-day road trip for the Canes. They’ve gone a dismal 2-11 against the money line on the road this season. They’re allowing a terrible 3.4 goals per game in those 13 road tilts. The listed probable goaltender for Carolina in tonight’s game is Anton Khudobin. Carolina has gone 0-6 with Khudobin as their starter this season, and he’s compiled a below average .898 save percentage in those outings.


Penguins Keep on Rolling
The Penguins enter this Eastern Conference tussle tonight by having gone 12-3 against the money line over their past 15-games. Pittsburgh’s trademark this season has been their fast starts. They’ve outscored opponents 57-31 during the first two periods of their 21-games. The Penguins have displayed the best power play in the NHL during the early part of this 2014-2015 season by converting on and off the charts 32.9% of their opportunities, and they’re an even better 37.8% at home. Tonight’s starting goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury has gone 13-4 in his 17-starts with a sparkling .924 save percentage.


Final Analysis
I alluded to the fact earlier that the Penguins have been notorious for their quick starts this year. Specifically in the first period of games this season, they’ve outscored opponents by a wide 30-15 margin, and that translates to +0.7 goal differential. Pittsburgh was a 4-3 overtime winner at home over Toronto in their previous game on Wednesday night. This sets up an extremely profitable totals system which I surely will use to my advantage when making my NHL picks for today.

Any home team with a total of 5.5, outscoring opponents by 0.2 or more goals in the first periods of their games on the season, and they’re coming off an overtime win in their previous game, has seen 60 of those 78-games (76.9%) go under the total during the past 5-seasons.

Free NHL Pick: Carolina/Pittsburgh to go under the total of 5.5 at 5Dimes

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