NHL Odds: 85.7% Of Public Money Leaning 'Over' Sabres Total Wins

Dana Lane

Friday, October 7, 2016 5:37 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 7, 2016 5:37 PM UTC

It's time to preview the Buffalo Sabres futures, and although we don't see this team reaching the playoffs this year, as they need to improve and become a more physical contender in their division. We have found betting value with their season wins. Join us to find out which side to back before making your NHL picks. 


Projected Point Total: 84.5 -115 'Over' at Bookmaker
Last Season: 35-36-11 81pts
Standings: Atlantic Division: 7th / League: 24th (Missed playoffs by 15 points)
Team Notes: 8 of 14 February games are against non-playoff games in 2015-16
2016-17 Stanley Cup Odds: +5500 at BetOnline
Key Statistic: Sabres 2nd in League with 49.8 minutes 5 on 5 TOI per game


It's apparent that most bettors feel as if the Sabres will be improved as the 'over' 84.5 -115 at Bookmaker is receiving 85.7% of the tickets written but I don't agree unless they get tougher and more physical.

To start, they have sent a clear message to defenseman Rasmus Ristolainen that there isn't a time frame to get him signed despite his desire to get it behind him. From a Sabres standpoint even though he is considered their best defenseman there isn't any rush to sign the restricted free agent to a $5 million dollar deal because I'm not convinced that Buffalo thinks he's worth it even though he finished in the top 25 in scoring among d-men.


His defensive partner will be the newly acquired Dmitri Kulikov from the Florida Panthers. The 26-yr old Russian won't put many points on the board but he is a guy who will give you 20 minutes a night and with his mobility and big shot I think he will continue to mature into an above-average defenseman.

The Sabres are -333 on the NHL odds to not make the playoffs and I tend to agree with that.  Don't get caught up in the Jack Eichel promotional machine and the +224 'yes' price. 


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Goaltender, Robin Lehner (5-9-5, 2.47GA, .924%) had a high ankle sprain limit him to 21 games last season but already is dealing with a forearm contusion injury in camp. If Lehner battles injuries this year or just isn't very good the Sabres are very thin.

Linus Ullmark (8-10-2) will most likely find himself back in Rochester as Anders Nilsson was brought in to back up or take the job from Lehner. Either scenario is a negative for the Sabres.

Although he isn't much of a two-way player the Sabres will now have Ryan O'Reilly to center the first line in front of Jack Eichel in the second. O'Reilly's linemate, Kyle Okposo, was signed to a seven-year deal in the offseason bringing a legitimate sniper to the line to bookend Evander Kane,

The Atlantic Division is considered to be down this year but It's not down enough for the Sabres to make playoffs run.  The Lightning, Panthers, Bruins, Redwings will be well above .500 teams so I'm not sure where an 'over' winning ticket as NHL pick is in their future.  


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