A battle of the bad tonight in Ottawa!
Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators
Saturday, February 29, 2020 – 07:00 PM EST
Opening Line: Ottawa -160 at Heritage
The return of Bobby Ryan was the feel-good story this week. Ryan, a feature of the Senators club for six years now, returned from rehab with a hat-trick performance in a 5-2 win against the Canucks. It’s difficult to have seen such a brilliant solo performance from a player who has largely left his goal-scoring prowess behind. However, you could tell the team and fans really rallied behind his return.
Today the Senators are the shortest they have been all season against the only team which such a price would be possible – the Detroit Red Wings. Despite having many ugly losses this year, the Winged Wheel got smacked around in an even uglier fashion against the Wild on Thursday losing 7-1. As a buddy commented ‘I feel bad for Jimmy Howard’. Well he was pulled for, I believe, the fifth or sixth time this season.
On paper, the Senators are not really that much better – especially with departures of Pageau and Ennis. For that reason, I understand why this short price might not be of any interest. Additionally, a situational spot I sometimes try to look for is when a team has lost by 5+ goals trying to look for a rebound where they might be mispriced and offer a better showing. That’s not the case today.
I am running with the Senators puckline which I have at around 45% to get the job done. Ottawa has not been priced this short since April of 2017 in which they came away with a 2-0 win at home. While that iteration of the Senators went to the Conference Finals, and this version has known their season was over since October, they were also against a better Wings team back then and not one struggling to reach 20 wins.
So even though the NHL odds have paired another bad team relatively short in comparison to pre-season expectations and inconsistencies, the puckline still holds value today.
NHL Pick: Senators (puckline) +145 at BetOnline