NHL Future Odds: Western Conference Updates

Ross Benjamin

Monday, November 17, 2014 3:26 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 17, 2014 3:26 PM GMT

Our NHL guru illustrates how he uses his “NHL Special Team Efficiency Index” numbers as part of his daily NHL picks. Check this highly informative article as it applies to the Western Conference. This can be a vital tool in aiding you with your NHL picks.

Western Conference Special Team Efficiency Index
One of the tools that I use in my daily NHL odds is the special team efficiency index. Although it must be noted, I begin to use this as part of my arsenal only after each team has played at least 15-games. Like with any sports handicapping method, the bigger the sample size, the more of a true indicator it becomes. The formula in arriving at a number for this specific category is quite simple. We take the power play percentage conversion rate, and then add it to their penalty killing percentage efficiency, and the sum of the two is the exact number attached to each team.

 

An Example
Since I will be covering the Western Conference in this article, let’s use the Vancouver Canucks as an example. The Canucks missed the playoffs a season ago due in part to taking a swan dive in the 2nd half of the year. The expectations for the upcoming season were skeptical at best, considering the roster was pretty much kept intact, with the notable exception of goaltender Ryan Miller who was signed as an unrestricted free agent during the offseason. In addition, the Canucks had a brand new coaching staff, and the transition period was expected to take some time. Lo and behold, the Canucks have been one of the early surprise teams in the Western Conference with a current 12-6 money line record. The Canucks have converted on 18.0% of their power play chances this season, and have killed off 85.7% of opponent’s power play chances against them. When adding those two numbers the sum is 103.7, and that ranks 4th best in the Western Conference. Considering that they finished last season with a special team index number of 98.4, it’s easy to see why they’ve been able to get off to a successful start to the season.

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Western Conference Special Team Index

Chicago Blackhawks 110.4

San Jose Sharks 105.9

St. Louis Blues 105.2

Vancouver Canucks 103.7

Colorado Avalanche 101.6

Calgary Flames 99.8

Anaheim Ducks 99.6

Los Angeles Kings 99.1

Minnesota Wild 98.6

Arizona Coyotes 96.9

Dallas Stars 95.6

Winnipeg Jets 95.4

Edmonton Oilers 94.8

Nashville Predators at Bet365

 

Teams Likely to Surge in the Upcoming Weeks

Chicago Blackhawks

Colorado Avalanche

San Jose Sharks

 

Current Favorites to Avoid

Nashville Predators

Dallas Stars

Minnesota Wild

 

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