NHL Betting Value on Total in Panthers vs. Flyers NHL Pick

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, November 6, 2014 2:35 PM GMT

Do you want to know where the NHL betting value is in tonight’s game between the Florida Panthers & Philadelphia Flyers? Ross Benjamin has the answers in his NHL betting preview article on this game.

Panthers in the “City of Brotherly Love”
The Flyers will play host to the Panthers today at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia with a scheduled 7:05 PM ET start. According to the NHL odds the Flyers are a -160 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5. These teams just met this past Saturday in Sunrise, Florida, and the Panthers came away with a 2-1 win. Philadelphia took 2 of the 3-games played versus Florida last season, and 2 of those 3 stayed under the total. The listed probable starting goaltenders in this game are Roberto Luongo for the Panthers, and Steve Mason for the Flyers.

 

Plethora of Low Scoring Games
The Florida Panthers have seen 7 of their last 8-games stay under the total, and have played on the low side of the number in 8 of 10 to start the season. Florida has also stayed under the total in 5 of their 6-games on the road to start the year. Their 10-games are averaging an extremely low 3.5 total goals per contest. Roberto Luongo has been terrific in his return to the organization that he began his career with. Luongo has posted a superb .932 save percentage in 9-starts.

Check out our top-value NHL Picks of the Day here. 

Up and Down Start to the Year
If you can characterize the Flyers start to the season it would be inconsistent. They enter today’s game 5-7 against the money line. On a positive note, they’ve rebounded nicely from a 1-3 start, and have won 4 of their last 6-games. The Flyers have seen 4 of their 5 home games go over the total. They’ve scored 3-goals or more in 8 of the first 10-games, and have accomplished that feat in each of their 5-games at home. After allowing an average of 4.0 goals per contest in their first 5-games, they’ve settled a bit defensively over the next 5, and have given up just an average of 2.2 goals per outing during that period.

 

Final Analysis
The Flyers are coming off a 4-1 home win over Edmonton in their previous game. Their money line win percentage thus far is a below average .417. Those results have created one of my betting systems on the total, and we can take utilize it in regards to our NHL picks for today. Any home team with a total of 5.5 playing in the 1st half of the season, coming off a home win by 3-goals or more, and with a money line win percentage of .400 to .490, has seen 66 of those 94-games (70.2%) stay under the total since 1996.

Free NHL Pick: Panthers/Flyers to go under the total of 5.5 at Pinnacle