NHL Betting Trends Throughout the 2013-14 Season

Tuesday, June 24, 2014 7:08 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 24, 2014 7:08 PM UTC

Our NHL betting odds guru reviews the money line betting odds action from this past regular season. He concludes the article by predicting a team that won’t be as profitable as they were this past season, and what club figures to be the best betting value on a nightly basis.
<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!-- td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;} --></style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;font-weight:bold;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe width="560" height="330" src="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/video/embed/?videoId=20750" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></span></p> <p><b>NHL Regular Season Betting Odds Review<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">I recently took the time to go through some of last season’s NHL regular season betting statistics. There are two reasons why I concentrated my efforts on the regular season, and excluded the playoffs in my research. The regular season is more of a daily grind, and a larger sample size. The playoffs only involve 16 of the 30 NHL teams. Besides that being a much smaller sample size, my personal playoff handicapping theories and methods differ substantially to how I approach the long trek of an 82-game regular season schedule.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"></span><b style="font-size:1em">Evaluating Last Season’s NHL Regular Season Money Line Results<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">One of the more interesting facts that I discovered was that just 12 of 30 NHL teams made a profit versus <a href="/nhl-hockey/news/nhl-betting-best-ats-teams-2013-14-a-39576/" title="Take a Look at the Best ATS Teams of 2013-14" target="_blank">the money line last season</a>. Even more surprising was the fact that 2 of those 12-teams didn’t even qualify for the playoffs. The Winnipeg Jets were just 37-45 versus the money line, yet they were the 6</span><sup>th</sup><span style="font-size:1em"> best money earner at +10.37 units. What you might find even more alarming was the Calgary Flames were #9 on the earnings list at +7.13 units, despite just a 35-47 record versus the money line. Finally, how about those Columbus Blue Jackets? Not only did Columbus finish 2</span><sup>nd</sup><span style="font-size:1em"> in earnings this past season at +25.83 units, they’ve also been the top money earner over the previous 2 seasons at +40.54 units. That 2-year number by the Blue Jackets far exceeded the next best team, that being the Anaheim Ducks at +34.31 units.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"></span><b style="font-size:1em">NHL Teams that Made a Profit in 2013-2014<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">Below is a list of the 12-teams that made a profit against the money line. The numbers in parenthesis were based on to win 1.00 on a favorite, and to wager 1.00 on an underdog.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"></span><b style="font-size:1em">1. </b><b style="font-size:1em"><a href="/picks/nhl/nhl-betting-boston-bruins-2014-15-futures/40319/" title="NHL Betting: Boston Bruins 2014-15 Futures" target="_blank">Boston Bruins</a> (+32.22)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">2. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Columbus Blue Jackets (+25.83)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">3. </b><b style="font-size:1em">New York Rangers (+19.69)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">4. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Tampa Bay Lightning (+15.23)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">5. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Anaheim Ducks (+12.30)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">6. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Winnipeg Jets (+10.37)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">7. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Colorado Avalanche (+9.41)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">8. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Pittsburgh Penguins (+8.92)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">9. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Calgary Flames (+7.13)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">10. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Philadelphia Flyers (+6.58)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">11. </b><b style="font-size:1em"><a href="/picks/nhl/nhl-betting-los-angeles-kings-2014-15-future-odds/40205/" title="NHL Betting: Los Angeles Kings 2014-15 Future Odds" target="_blank">Los Angeles Kings</a> (+4.27)</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">12. </b><b style="font-size:1em">Chicago Blackhawks (+0.75)</b></p> <p><br /><b style="font-size:1em"></b><b style="font-size:1em">Overvalued Teams</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">San Jose Sharks (-15.27): </b><span style="font-size:1em">Despite the Sharks posting a stellar 51-31 money line record for the season, they still managed to lose their backers a considerable amount of money on the season. A prime example why was their home loss last November 5</span><sup>th</sup><span style="font-size:1em"> at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres. The Sharks were a mammoth -400 money line favorite in that game, and they lost to the worst team in the NHL by a score of 5-4 in an overtime shootout. They also lost to the Florida Panthers as a -325 favorite, and to the Winnipeg Jets as a favorite of -225. Those 3 losses alone accounted for a -9.50 units.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"></span><b style="font-size:1em">Detroit Red Wings (-19.04):</b><span style="font-size:1em"> The books continued to give the Red Wings a lot more respect than their talent level indicated that they should’ve been receiving. Part of their reasoning was undoubtedly due to public perception. The Red Wings franchise had been one of the most successful on the ice over the last 20-years, and continued to be a public betting favorite this past season. They were the final team to qualify for the playoffs in <a href="/picks/nhl/nhl-betting-2015-eastern-conference-odds-power-ratings/40220/" title="2015 Eastern Conference Odds &amp; Power Ratings" target="_blank">the Eastern Conference</a>, and were soundly defeated in their opening round series by the Boston Bruins.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"></span><b style="font-size:1em">Vancouver Canucks (-26.16): </b><span style="font-size:1em">The Canucks literally sent their backers to the poor house this past season. They had the distinction of being the worst team to make a money line wager on in the entire NHL. Vancouver had been consistently one of the best teams in <a href="/picks/nhl/nhl-betting-2015-western-conference-odds-power-ratings/40223/" title="2015 Western Conference Odds &amp; Power Ratings" target="_blank">the Western Conference</a> over the previous 5 seasons. They were grossly overvalued for the better part of the year as the books kept waiting for them to reawaken. You would’ve had a better chance of Rip Van Winkle awaking from a cat nap than the Canucks eventually turning things around this season.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"></span><b style="font-size:1em">Team Not Likely to Keep the Cash Coming In</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">New York Rangers:</b><span style="font-size:1em"> The Rangers produced the 3</span><sup>rd</sup><span style="font-size:1em"> most units in the NHL against the money line this season. “The Broadway Blue Shirts” were one of the best road teams in the NHL, and many of those away wins came as an underdog. They were also a team that wasn’t overvalued due to a below average home record. However, due to an unexpected run to <a href="/picks/nhl/nhl-picks-2015-stanley-cup-future-odds/40204/" title="Check Out the 2015 Stanley Cup Future Odds" target="_blank">the Stanley Cup Finals</a>, an unlikely repeat performance on the road this upcoming season, and their prices figuring to be much higher in the next go around, they will be lucky to make a profit in 2014-2015.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"></span><b style="font-size:1em">Team Most Likely to Turn the Money Around</b></p> <p><b style="font-size:1em">Ottawa Senators:</b><span style="font-size:1em"> In the 2012-2013 campaign the Ottawa Senators were one of the surprise teams in hockey. As a result, it was no surprise they were 2</span><sup>nd</sup><span style="font-size:1em"> in the NHL making +20.09 units for the year, and all in a strike shortened 48-game season. This year saw a lot of their younger players regress, and it reflected in their money line numbers. The Senators were 28</span><sup>th</sup><span style="font-size:1em"> in the NHL losing 22.95 units. That’s a net difference of 43.04 units in the space of one season. I look for <a href="/picks/nhl/" title="When the NHL Season Kicks Off So Do Our Free MLB Picks!" target="_blank">the Senators to bounce back this season</a>, and display some of the form we saw from 2 seasons ago. You will certainly be able to get them at some pretty attractive prices especially in the first quarter of the season.</span></p>
comment here