NHL Betting Pick: Back Young Maple Leafs As Short Dogs Over Flyers

Dana Lane

Friday, November 11, 2016 7:10 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 11, 2016 7:10 PM UTC

The Toronto Maple Leafs come off an embarrassing 7-0 home loss to the Kings, but the Leafs are still good value at even money on NHL odds for Friday's game against visiting Philadelphia.

2016-17 NHL Record: 16-13 (+11.71 units)

Before we get to the Flyers-Leafs play, let's examine some NHL future odds that you may want to take advantage of.  I release an NHL power rankings once a month and we can find some value based on the first rankings.

I tend to back teams that I can rely on to create an abundance of offensive opportunities while still being defensively responsible.  No one has delivered on those traits more than the Washington Capitals (8-3-1), who average 32 shots per game while allowing just 2.17 goals per game. The Caps could make a stronger impression in this year's playoffs because, unlike last year, they are being pushed by the New York Rangers and Pittsburgh Penguins in the Metropolitan Division. 

In 2015-16, Washington wrapped up the Metropolitan Division early and were on cruise control the final month of the season.  I don't think the Caps were ever able to crank it up mentally again and they lost to the Penguins in the East semis.  Washington remains 10/1 to win the Stanley Cup at SBR's best sportsbooks. This is great value for a team that I consider to be the strongest Cup contender at this point.

The Boston Bruins slide in at the No. 2 slot, which may be a surprise to some but if you read my preseason futures column you would know that I'm putting a lot of faith in the boys from Beantown. Boston has been a fantastic puck control team due to its dominance in the faceoff circle.  They Bruins the majority of most games in opposing teams' offensive zones and are averaging almost 32 shots per night. If Tuukka Rask continues his Vezina pace, the Bruins will go deep in the playoffs.  Future odds still indicate that they are the best value at 35/1.

It's no surprise that the Tampa Bay Lightning should still get serious futures consideration. Their speed along with one of the league best power-play units warrants a future ticket, especially at 10/1. 

Tonight, the Leafs are going off at even money at home against the Flyers. Both teams have young talent that will be the focal point of their clubs for a long time, but for our bankroll a home dog is always the most attractive option. This likely isn't a playoff team, but perhaps no one in the league has more speed combined with skilled young offensive talent than the Leafs. I can bank on them to create a reasonable amount of chances tonight against a shaky Philly netminder Steve Mason, which will give us a strong shot at cashing in.

@DanaLaneSports   @DanaLaneNHL

NHL Free Pick: Leafs +100Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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