NHL Betting: Break Out The Brooms for Caps vs Flyers Game 4

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, April 20, 2016 7:48 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 20, 2016 7:48 PM UTC

Our handicapping professional breaks down Wednesday’s Game 4 of the Washington/Philadelphia series. Be sure to go inside before making any of your NHL picks today.

Flyers on Brink of Elimination
Philadelphia will look to avoid being swept on Wednesday when they host Washington at the First Union Center. The Flyers find themselves down 3-0 in this Eastern Conference Quarterfinal series following a resounding 6-1 defeat in Game 3. Check out the Stanley Cup betting futures for all lines you might need for a proper bet on this game.

Washington has outscored Philadelphia by a combined 12-2 during the first three games of the series. According to current (10:05 AM ET) NHL odds at Matchbook.com, Washington is a -148 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0.


Holtby Slamming the Door Shut
Braden Holtby has been absolutely superb for Washington during the first three games of this series. Holtby has a 0.67 GAA, and has compiled an excellent .978 save percentage. He stopped all 19 Flyers shot on goal in an opening game 2-0 win.

However, a case could be made that he was even better in Games 2 and 3. Philadelphia had a substantial 75-50 shots on goal advantage during those two contests, but they were only able to beat Holtby twice.

Dating back to regular season action, Holtby has posted a terrific .969 save percentage in his last five starts against Philadelphia. As a matter of fact, Holtby has gone 52-17 (.754) during 69 starts this season, and that also includes 24-10 (.701) on the road.


Rebounding for Embarrassment
I don’t know what was more humiliating to the Flyers organization, their team’s performance at home in Game 3, or the lack of class displayed by its fans who were in attendance.

Whether it was one, the other, or both, recently deceased franchise matriarch Ed Snider had to be rolling in his grave. I can give the Flyers a pass for being blown out by a superior opponent, but their fans littering the ice with wristbands used as part of a pregame lights show was unequivocally classless.

Special Teams Mismatch
If you’re looking for a core of Philadelphia’s issues in this series beyond solving Braden Holtby, it’s been their inability to at least neutralize Washington’s power play.

Washington’s power play has gone an astounding 8-for-17 (47.1%) during the first three games, and has accounted for 66.7% of their goals scored in the series. Conversely, Philadelphia has failed to score on any of their 13 power play chances.


Final Analysis and Pick
These two Metropolitan Division rivals split their four regular season matchups, but the cream has certainly risen to the top during this playoff series. I can go on and on about the insurmountable odds of overcoming a 3-0 series deficit, but that would be irrelevant since my focus is squarely on a Game 4 winning wager.

In all likelihood, Philadelphia will come out like gangbusters in the first ten minutes of tonight’s game. I firmly believe Washington will be able to weather that storm, and eventually take control of the game.

The Flyers can reserve tee times at one of their preferred golf courses by tomorrow morning. I’m going with the road favorite and the betting lines for this game as one of my Wednesday NHL picks

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Free NHL Pick: Washington -149
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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