Maple Leafs vs. Stars Picks, Predictions: Competitive Matchup in Big D
The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Dallas to take on the Stars in what should be a competitive matchup. Read on for our Maple Leafs-Stars picks and predictions based on the latest odds.
Two red-hot teams with major issues finishing in extra time face off Tuesday night in Dallas.
Saturday’s 4-3 overtime loss at Tampa Bay snapped a five-game winning streak for the Maple Leafs and dropped them to 1-6 in games decided after 60 minutes. They stay on the road for Tuesday’s game, which marks the end of a stretch of six road games in a seven-game span.
The Stars, meanwhile,
followed up back-to-back wins against the St. Louis Blues and Anaheim Ducks with
Sunday’s 6-5 shootout loss against the Minnesota Wild. Dallas has been even stunningly bad beyond the 60-minute mark, having lost all seven games in that situation.
Here is our best Maple Leafs vs. Stars pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our NHL best bets.
Maple Leafs vs. Stars Game Info
Date: Monday, Dec. 6, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN+, Hulu, Sportsnet
Ontario
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Maple Leafs vs. Stars Odds
Maple Leafs vs. Stars Odds Analysis
Consensus odds opened with the Maple Leafs and Stars both priced at -110. And even with 87% of the early money on the Maple Leafs, the consensus line has actually moved to Stars -120. The Maple Leafs are priced at +100 on the moneyline.
The total opened at 6.5 and has held firm with +100 on the Over and -120 on the Under. The Over has seen 78% of the early money.
Maple Leafs vs. Stars Pick
Jamie Benn Over 0.5 goals (+310) ★★★★
Dallas Stars captain Jamie Benn is rejuvenated at the age of 33, skating with youngsters Wyatt Johnston and Ty Dellandrea at even strength while remaining on the Stars’ top power-play unit.
Benn has scored 10 goals in 26 games this season, registering at least one goal in four of 12 home games. That rate would suggest a two-to-one likelihood of Benn not scoring.
While the Maple Leafs have a solid defensive record, they are also dealing with significant injuries on the blueline, most notably veterans T.J. Brodie and Morgan Rielly.
Since Benn is not playing a
featured role in Dallas, he should have an opportunity to feast on matchups
against defenders lower on the Toronto depth chart.
Maple Leafs vs. Stars Best Odds
| Prop | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars | BetMGM | PointsBet |
| Jamie Benn Over 0.5 Goals | +310 | +300 | +305 | +300 | +290 |
When you consider how productive Benn has been this season, the prices for him to score a goal against Toronto are actually quite favorable.
DraftKings comes out with the longest odds
at +310 but the rest of the top sportsbooks have a Benn goal priced at +290 or
longer. DK continues to impress when it comes to player prop value, though Caesars deserves a mention here as a solid runner-up option.
Where to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Stars Picks
Check out our best sportsbooks:
Maple Leafs-Stars picks made 12/6/2022 at 1:15 p.m. ET.
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