Long-Term Betting Trends Influence Sharks vs. Bruins Pick

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 21, 2014 12:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2014 12:00 PM UTC

Our NHL betting odds expert examines tonight’s game between the Sharks/Bruins. Read this in depth preview article that culminates with a NHL free pick on the total.

Premier NHL Non-Conference Tussle
The Bruins host the Sharks tonight at the TD Garden in Boston with the opening puck drop slated for 7:05 PM ET. According to the NHL betting odds at Pinnacle, Boston is a -133 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.0. These teams have met just twice over the past 3-seasons, The Bruins won both of those games, and each contest went under the total.


Final Game of Early Road Trip
The Sharks will be playing the last of a 5-game in 8-day road trip tonight. They’re 2-2 so far, and the previous 4-games all came versus Eastern Conference opponents. This will also be the Sharks 3rd game in the last 4-days, and the 4th in the last 6. They last played on Sunday at Madison Square Garden, and suffered a 4-0 defeat at the hands of the Rangers. It would be easy to give the Sharks an excuse in that lopsided loss since they were playing their 2nd game in less than 24-hours, following a 4-2 victory at New Jersey on Saturday. The Sharks have seen 3 of the 4-games on this road swing go over the total. Antti Niemi is slated to be in goal tonight. Niemi is off to a fast 3-0 start to the season, and has posted an excellent .933 save percentage in the process.


Bruins Answer Early Wake-Up-Call
The Bruins struggled to get out of the gate this season by losing 3 of their first 4-games, and scored a paltry 4-goals combined during that stretch. They’re showing signs of answering the bell, going 2-1 in their last 3, and scoring 11-goals during those contests. Boston is coming off a resounding 4-0 win at Buffalo on Saturday. They’ve gone a perfect 11-0 against the money line during the past 2-seasons following a road win by 3-goals or more, and outscored their opponents by an average of 2.3 goals per outing. Boston has gone under the total in all 8-games at home the past 2-seasons, when facing a Western Conference opponent, and with an average of only 3.9 goals combined scored per contest. They’ve also gone under the total in all of their previous 3 home games this season. Tukka Rask is scheduled to get the start in goal tonight.


Final Analysis
The Bruins are returning home after a 3-game road trip, and as I alluded to earlier, the Sharks have played the last 4-games on the road. The combination of these two situations has produced a favorable probability of a low scoring game, and that’s what I’m going to be advising for one of your NHL picks on today’s card.

Any home team coming off 3 consecutive road games, versus an opponent coming off 4 consecutive road games, has gone under the total 93 of 143 times (65%) since 1996.

Free NHL Pick: Sharks/Bruins to go under the total of 5.0 at Pinnacle

Here are the top three NHL picks for October 21st, 2014

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