Lightning vs Oilers: Bet Home Dog As Your NHL Pick Tonight

Bruce Webster

Friday, January 8, 2016 7:35 PM GMT

The Tampa Bay Lightning enter this game off a 3-1 road loss to Calgary, while the Edmonton Oilers come in off a 1-0 shutout of Carolina, who will be our NHL pick tonight?



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NHL Pick: Edmonton +130
Best Line Offered: at Bet365


Bad Offense in Loss to Flames
The Tampa Bay Lightning have been battling bad offense all year and it rose up again in their 3-1 road loss to the Calgary Flames on Tuesday night. The lightning looked like they were starting to turn the offense around as they had scored 27 goals in their previous eight games, but vs the Flames all they could muster was that one goal on 31 shots. Scoring the lone goal was Steven Stamkos, who now has 17 goals on the year, which leads the team. The Lightning check in at 21st in the league in scoring, putting up 2.5 gpg, while converting on 19.1% of their power play chances, which is 16th.

Absorbing the loss in the game was Ben Bishop, who allowed two goals on just 21 shots, for his 3rd loss in a row. Bishop should get the start in this game as well and is now 15-16 on the year, despite his solid 2.06 GAA. He just hasn’t gotten much help from his offense. Bishop is also 6-7 with a 2.09 GAA on the road and he has gone 3-1 with a 1.98 GAA in his career vs the Oilers. Tampa Bay has been a very solid defensive team as they come in ranked 7th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.4 gpg, while allowing teams to convert on 20.3% of their power play chances, which is 18th.


Talbot Blanks Hurricanes with 29 Saves
Cam Talbot had a big game vs the Hurricanes on Tuesday night as he stopped 29 shots in the 1-0 OT win. The shutout was his first of the year and the 9th of his career. Talbot is now 7-13 with a 2.76 GAA on the year. Talbot has been getting more of the start of late so it is unclear, who will get the start in this one. If it is Anders Nilsson then he is 10-11 with a 2.91 GAA on the year and it would be his first ever start vs the Lightning in his career, while Talbot would also be making his first ever start vs them. Shutouts are not the norm for this team as it is was their first of the year  

The Oilers have not been a strong defensive team this year as they come in ranked 27th in the league in goals allowed, giving up 3.0 gpg, while allowing teams to convert on 20% of their power play chances, which is 18th. Their offense isn’t a whole lot better as they come in ranked 22nd in scoring, putting up just 2.4 gpg, while converting on just 16.3% of their power play chances, which is 27th in the league. Scoring the lone goal for the Oilers was Andrej Sekara, which was his 5th of the year. Let's check the latest trends and NHL odds.


Tampa Bay Trends:
29-73 in their last 102 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
0-4 their last four trips to Edmonton

Edmonton Trends:
9-2 in their last 11 home games
5-1 in their last six vs. the Eastern Conference


Betting Analysis
I will go with the Oilers here as they have played well at home and the Lightning are still struggling to score, especially away from home. Tampa Bay has just been too inconsistent of late to think that they can win here vs a team that just may be a bit more motivated than them. Look for the Oilers to push their win streak to three in a row here as the sharp NHL Pick.