Leafs, Kings To Produce A Post-Trade Deadline 'Under'

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Thursday, March 2, 2017 3:48 PM GMT

Some teams on Thursday get to unveil their trade deadline acquisitions, which to most people equates to higher-scoring games. However, handicapper Dana Lane explains why it's too early to expect offensive cohension for those clubs.   

2016-2017 NHL Pick Record:  68-58 (+12.57 units)

Don't think for a minute that the Toronto Maple Leafs have forgotten that the Los Angeles Kings handed them a 7-0 defeat back in November as those two face off Thursday in L.A.  Like we say just about every day, past results almost always guarantee a completely different game the next time around because coaches now own a blueprint for what its team's shortcomings are against a particular opponent. Mike Babcock will have his Leafs ready to play a better defensive game.

Thankfully for us, the NHL betting public doesn't agree as 70% ofr the early tickets written are on the 'over.' One note: the majority of the 'totals' out there are sitting at 5 but as said before, do your line shopping at SBR's top sportsbooks. There are 5.5s to be had and we're not scared to lay the -140 on our NHL picks.  If you're a little more sure than me you can get a 5 at plus money.

It's not surprising that people are jumping on the 'over' after the Kings acquired the services of Jarome Iginla at the deadline, but if you've seen Iginla play this season it's hard to get excited about what he brings to the table.  The Kings are still slow, even though they may feel more comfortable bringing defensemen into the play now that they have two world class goaltenders to cover up any potential odd-man rushes given up. 

Everyone knows that Anze Kopitar needs help on his line.  If you shut down the Kings' first line, you shut the whole team down. But let's be optimistic and buy into Iginla's potential contributions, though it's not going to be a cohesive effort from day one.  We don't even know how many minutes Iginla will play so let's anticipate the same, slow effort that we're used to seeing from the 25th-ranked offense -- especially until we see Iginla's impact along the elimination of Dwight King as he moved on to the Montreal Canadiens.

Jonathan Quick gets the start for the Kings in goal after being out most of the season.  It's reasonable to expect Quick's best effort as he should be rounding into game shape.  You also have the East / West factor as the Leafs continue their West Coast swing after dropping a 3-1 decision to the San Jose Sharks on Tuesday.  This trip against heavy teams can take their toll on high-scoring teams, so let's get some of the 'under' in this one at 5.5 so we avoid the push even if we have to lay a little more.

NHL Free Pick:  'Under' 5.5Best Line Offered: Heritage

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