Jets to Take a Commanding Lead in Best of 7

Winnipeg Jets

Dana Lane

Sunday, May 13, 2018 7:17 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 13, 2018 7:17 PM UTC

Vegas forecheck has to be more effective before I can back them again.

Vegas Golden Knights (0) vs Winnipeg Jets (1)

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Series Price: Winnipeg -245Free NHL Pick: WinnipegBest Line Offered: at Heritage

I think this is the time of year where I should give my public service announcement about not over extending or feeling like you have to wager on a game because it’s the Stanley Cup Playoffs which tends to give people the feeling that they have to wager more than they normally would to make some sort of self-imposed quota for the day. This is a tricky time of year for bettors who want action so they end forcing a play.

Game two of the Western Conference Final isn’t a head scratcher for me because I can take the elements of what I wanted to see from both teams Saturday night and apply them to game two but as many of you have informed me, I picked the Golden Knights to win the series which presents a dilemma.

Game two puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 ET / 5:00 PT and can be seen on the NBC Sports Network, CBC (Canada), TVAS (French), and Sports Net (Canada).

The SBR odds page has opened the Jets as a -140 favorite, bet up to -150 at Bookmaker. I don’t anticipate that the books will have much liability in this one because when the dust clears the betting should be even with perhaps a small money edge to Winnipeg. With the win Paul Maurice’s team has now won 20 of their last 25 games.

The total sits at the expected number of six, -120 under. There is one 5.5 out there but I don’t expect that number to be available much longer. The larger percentage of tickets have been written on the ‘over (63%-37%) but the money has caused books to put some juice on the ‘under’.

The Vegas Golden Knights looked rattled in the first 10 minutes of game one but after they held the Jets to just 14 total shots after the first period. Yes, I know, the score dictated some of that but we do know this, the Golden Knights will play better to start game two but will they be able to impose their will on the bigger and at times quicker Jets.

Many have said it’s as easy as playing a dump and chase game because then Vegas can used their perceived speed edge. That may be sound advice and good in theory but the problem is the Jets

could easily forecheck with two or three skaters while leaving the neutral zone open with their mobile defensemen in position to go back and get the puck or pinch in the neutral zone. Vegas needs to prove that they can create quality chances on a consistent basis before I can bet the Knights in this environment.

I do think the Knights speed on the edge is greater which means they must move the puck quicker. Use the boards; bring a forward back to help the defensemen on the rush. Stretch them when you can. They can’t think as much as they did in game one. Catch and let it rip like Vegas did against San Jose. They gave the Jets too much time to defend.

I like Vegas but I have to see them do it before they regain my financial confidence.

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