Jets Must Find Offense vs. Rejuvenated Wild in Game 4 Tuesday

wild jets

Dana Lane

Monday, April 16, 2018 5:05 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 16, 2018 5:05 PM UTC

The "over" is 23-11-4 the game after Minnesota scores at least five goals in their previous game, and we expect that trend to continue when the series resumes.

NHL Tuesday: Jets vs. WildFree NHL Pick: 'Over' 5.5Best Line Offered: Betmania

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The Minnesota Wild officially joined the postseason with a 6-2 win over the Winnipeg Jets on Sunday. The Jets, who still lead the opening-round series 2-1, have now lost four of their last five visits to Minneapolis. The Wild continue to ride the wave of one of the best home records in the NHL (28-6-8), and they'll be home for Game 4 on Tuesday night (8 ET; CNBC).

With change in momentum, the betting public is backing the Wild in Game 4. After opening -105 each way on the NHL odds board, we see that almost every major sportsbook has taken money on the Wild. At Skybook, you’ll have to lay -116 to get in on the Wild, but it’s not the side I have interest in.

After Minnesota erupted for six goals in Game 3, we now have two teams who know they can score in the series. This will be a rested Jets team facing a confident Wild club. Somehow the public still feels as if an "under" is the play. After opening 5.5, -110, early money has moved this to -118, under, at BetPhoenix. This is a peculiar betting pattern considering the general thinking of the public is to follow what they just saw, especially if was an 8-goal game. I’ll happily take the "over" at a plus price in this one.

I know most don’t think depth is a big deal, but it is when you’re talking defensemen and it certainly is when you’re betting totals. The apparent leg injury to Winnipeg's Tyler Myers will potentially take a quality depth d-man out of the lineup. Even though Myers plays on their third pairing with Ben Chiarot, Myers is one of the league’s best defensemen who nobody really knows about. He scored Sunday, his third point in the series, after a 36-point regular season.

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🔨🔨🔨

🚨: Tyler Myers#GoJetGo #WPGvsMIN #WPGWhiteout pic.twitter.com/zu3SYHeDiU

— Winnipeg Jets (@NHLJets) April 16, 2018
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Devan Dubnyk was spectacular in goal for the Wild in Game 3, but the Jets are the league’s second-best offensive team, averaging 3.33 goals per game in the regular season. I’m going to anticipate a much better effort than Sunday when had 31 weak shots. Look for the Jets to play with more energy; there will be no travel excuses. This will allow them to use their speed to drive to the net more.

I’m jumping on the "over" with my NHL picks because I think the Jets will score first, forcing the Wild to come out of the defensive shell they like to use when they have the lead.

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