Islanders & Capitals Fly 'Over' the Total

Dana Lane

Thursday, November 2, 2017 4:27 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 2, 2017 4:27 PM UTC

The New York Islanders are trying to build on their six-goal outburst against the Vegas Golden Knights as they face the Washington Capitals at the Verizon Center, puck drops 7:00 ET/4:00 PT

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Free NHL Pick: Over 5.5Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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N.Y. Islanders vs Washington Capitals

There are different types ‘overs’. One is when a team comes out and puts an ‘over’ bet away early and then becomes offensively non-existent for the rest of the game. Then there are the teams who get stronger as the game progresses and has a monster third period allowing them to carry that momentum into their next game. The latter is the case with the Islanders who scored three third period goals in the third period against the Vegas Golden Knights on Monday rocketing them to a 6-3 victory. The kind of third period that they can take into tonight’s match-up against the Washington Capitals.

I suppose I’ll jump the John Tavarez train as long as I can. I have never really been able to put my finger on it but I’ve never been the biggest Tavarez fan but it’s hard not to recognize how good he’s been recently. Of his 15 total points, this year 12 have come in his last five games. Of the 12 points, 9 have been goals, a streak that has been felt by his linemates. Anders Lee has 12 points with Josh Baily even better with 14, ten of which have come during Tavarez’s phenomenal five-game stretch.

On the other side, I can’t write assume any team is an ‘under’ team when Alex Ovechkin is on because he’s a guy who can make a significant impact on your wager. With 10 goals and 5 assists in 15 games, it appears like the Ovi is still a reliable offensive force. Although he hasn’t found the back of the net in four games he still has contributed with for assist. You also have to factor in that he’s coming off of his worst performance of the season a loss to the Flames where he was a -1 and only managed three shots on goal which is the second time in three games that he’s hasn’t been noticeable on the ice. Playing in front of the Verizon Center crowd should help; Ovechkin has 9 points in four home games.

We never want to bet an ‘over’ if we’re not confident in the power play units, especially if we have to get over six to win. New York hasn’t been good with the extra attacker this season but have shown signs of improving, scoring a power-play goal in three of their last five games. Washington is still reliable enough to lean on to get at least one special teams goal as they’re currently ranked 9th with a 21.6% success rate.

From a trend perspective, the Islanders are now on a streak of six straight games going over the ‘total’. Too much potential offense so back the ‘over’ for your NHL picks.

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