Inconsistency & Road Hindrance Makes 'Under' a Solid NHL Pick for Wild vs. Blackhawks

David Lawrence

Tuesday, April 7, 2015 10:51 AM GMT

The Minnesota Wild and Chicago Blackhawks could very well end up meeting in the first round of the playoffs, which is why Tuesday’s meeting of the teams could prove to be quite important. It could be a preview of things to come. The Blackhawks are a sizable home favorite on the NHL betting lines for this one.

The Minnesota Wild Can Win Because…
The Blackhawks haven’t been a great bet of late in terms of matchups against winning teams. Chicago is just 8-7 in their last 15 against teams with a winning record, which is a stark contrast to how they were earlier in the year. They started the season 17-4 in that scenario. If you have been betting them in this spot over their last 15 games, you’ve lost 2.8 units. Meanwhile, the Wild are 12-6 in that same situation.

Minnesota has obviously played better with Devan Dubnyk in net and that includes their matchups with Chicago. They lost the first three get togethers of the season but with Dubnyk, they were able to pull out a 3-0 shutout win. Even though they’ve lost three straight overall, they have been a quality team for the last couple of months and won’t be a pushover on Tuesday.

SBR's expert handicapper also previews the Islanders vs. Flyers matchup

The Chicago Blackhawks Can Win Because…
The Wild have taken a turn for the worse. They’ve now lost three straight games and it appears that their hot streak has come to an end, which is something you should think about when looking at the NHL betting odds. For the last two months, they have been one of the best teams in the NHL but everyone wondered how real this run was. Devan Dubnyk has been a middling goaltender for his career and the Wild have been a very average team this season before acquiring him, so it didn’t make sense that their acquisition of Dubnyk would spark such a turnaround. Regardless, it did, they played great but now it appears to have come to an end. The Wild have now lost three straight, which includes shortcomings to the New York Rangers, Detroit Red Wings and Winnipeg Jets.

The Blackhawks have been quietly making an ascent up the standings over the last month as they’ve won four of five and 13 of their last 19 games. They own this series as they’ve won 10 of the last 11 as the host and 15 of the last 23 meetings overall. They’re the better choice for your NHL picks here.

 

Outlook
The Wild are not only in a funk, they are also in a back-to-back situation and are playing their fourth game in six nights. On top of that, they’re visiting a place where they normally don’t win very often. That being the case, it’s tough to recommend them.

However, the Blackhawks have been inconsistent at times this season and laying juice with them always makes me nervous. Instead, I’ll go under the number here. The Wild have just four goals scored in their last three games and 24 of the Blackhawks 31 division games have also played under. As long as Dubnyk is again between the pipes, look for a low-scoring affair in this one.

NHL Pick: Under at Bodog

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