In-State Rivalry NHL Picks: Islanders To Take The Win Against Rangers

Bruce Webster

Thursday, January 14, 2016 1:47 PM GMT

The New York Rangers come in off a hard fought 2-1 win over the Bruins on Monday night, while the New York Islanders come in off an easy 5-2 win over Columbus, who will be our NHL pick?

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NHL Pick: Islanders -107
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Lundqvist Has Strong Outing vs Bruins
Henrik Lundqvist has been struggling of late for the Rangers, but he had a very solid outing vs the Bruins on Monday night as he stopped 32 shots in the 2-1 win. Prior to this start he was 4-6 in his previous 11 starts and allowed 3.82 goals per start over that stretch. This was also the first time in his last 13 starts that he allowed less than two goals in a game. Overall he is now 19-15 with a 2.49 GAA. He should get the start in this game as well and is also 6-10 with a 2.78 GAA on the road, while vs the Islanders in his career he has gone 29-21 with a 2.20 GAA. This year he faced the Isles once and lost 2-1 in  shootout. 

The Rangers trailed the Bruins 1-0 until Derick Brassard tied it up just 35 seconds into the 3rd period. It was his 15th of the year. Jesper fast then got the game winner with just 1:42 left in regulation. It was his 7th of the year. The Rangers check in at 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 2.9 gpg and 12th in power play conversions, converting on 18.8% of their chances. On defense it has been a struggle of late overall, but they still rank 14th in goals allowed, giving up 2.6 gpg, and 16th in penalty kill at 80.3%. 

 

Nelson’s Hat Trick Leads Isles Over Blue Jackets
The Islanders have not been playing the best hockey of late, but it seems like a good remedy for slumping teams is to play the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Islanders did just that on Tuesday night and walked away with a 5-2 win. The star for the Isles was Brock Nelson, who scored his first career hat trick in the win. He now has 17 goals on the year and has taken over the team league in goals, plus he also had an assist as well. Also scoring for the Islanders was Ryan Strome, who scored his 4th of the year and Brian Strait, who scored his first of the year and just the 6th of his career, which spans 156 games. 

Coming up with a solid effort in goal was Thomas Greiss, who stopped 18 shots to win his 8th game in his last 11 starts. For the year he is now 13-9 with a 2.32 GAA. He should get the start in this game as well and is 6-5 with a 2.32 GAA ay home and 0-1 with a 4.10 GAA in two games vs the Rangers in his career. Should it be Jaroslav Halak that gets the start, then we note that he is just 1-4 in his last five starts and 18-17 with a 2.52 GAA in his career vs the Rangers. The Isles check in at 10th in the league in scoring (2.7 gpg) and 21st in power play conversions (17.5%), while on defense they are 12th in goals allowed (2.5 gpg) and 2nd in penalty kill (87%). Let's check the latest trends and the NHL odds.

 

Rangers Trends
1-9 in their last 10 road games
0-7 in their last seven games following a win

Islanders Trends
12-3 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400
8-3 in their last 11 home games

 

Betting Analysis
Going with the Isles here as the Rangers have really struggled on the road of late and they haven’t won two in a row in a while. Lundqvist had a solid game vs a struggling Boston offense, but the Isles offense isn’t really struggling right now. The Rangers offense isn’t either, but either Greiss of Halak are more than capable of stopping them. I give the edge on defense to the Isles and they are at home where they have been solid of late. Look for the Islanders to take this one as our NHL pick.