Home Ice Advantage & Better Offense Make Islanders Our NHL Pick Over Flyers

Bruce Webster

Saturday, January 23, 2016 3:13 PM UTC

Saturday, Jan. 23, 2016 3:13 PM UTC

The Philadelphia Flyers face the New York Islanders on Saturday night at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. Don't miss our preview and earn some extra cash with our NHL picks.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. New York Islanders
Lines: New York -154/ Philadelphia +139
Total: 5
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Free NHL Pick: Islanders
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


The NHL odds boards are displaying lines for tonight's game as the Philadelphia Flyers (20-17-4-4 SU, 26-19 PL, 16-19-10 OU) come in off a tough 4-3 toad loss at the hands of Pittsburgh, which was their 3rd loss in their last four games, while the New York Islanders (24-15-3-3 SU, 19-26 PL, 16-25-4 OU) found the back of the net on five occasions in a solid win over the Ottawa Senators on Friday night and they will be looking to continue with a win at home. Will they be our play for Saturday's NHL picks?


Flyers Take Rare Loss to the Penguins
The Philadelphia Flyer entered their game with Pittsburgh on Thursday night having won the last eight games in the series, but that all ended with a 4-3 Pittsburgh win. The Flyers did get off to a 2-0 lead after the first period, but then Pittsburgh scored the next four goals to take control of the game. Scoring for the Flyers in the loss was Brayden Schenn, which was his 11th of the year, Jakub Voracek, which was his 6th and Claude Giroux, which was his team leading 14th of the year. Finding consistent scoring has been an issue for the Flyers as they have just three players with double digit goal totals and just six players overall with seven or more goals.

For the year the Flyers check in at  29th in the league in scoring, putting up just 2.2 gpg, while converting on just 17.1% of their power play chances, which is 22nd. On defense they come in at 15th in goals allowed, giving up 2.6 gpg, while allowing teams to convert on 21.6% of their power play chances, which is 25th. Taking the loss vs Pittsburgh was Steve Mason, who is now just 10-18 with a 2.72 GAA on the year. Michal Neuvirth should get the call in this one and he is 10-7 with a 2.05 GAA overall, including 4-5 with a 2.24 GAA on the road, while vs the Islanders he is 5-3 with a 1.72 GAA.


Islanders Offense Stymied by Ryan Miller
The New York Islanders have had some scoring wos of late, but they did go into their game vs the Canucks having scored eight goals in their previous two games combined. In the game vs the Canucks the Islanders did get off 48 shots on Ryan Miller, but all they could do was score just one goal in the 2-1 shootout loss. Not a very good shooting percentage there as Miller was really on his game that night. Scoring the lone goal for the islanders was Ryan Strome, which came with just 51 seconds left in the game to help the Islanders avoid getting shutout. It was his 5th goal of the year.

The loss in the game was suffered by Jaroslav Halak, who had a decent game as he stopped 25 of the 26 shots that were thrown his way. Halak is now 11-12 on the year, but still with a solid 2.11 GAA. He should get the start in Ottawa on Friday night, so getting the call in this one should be Thomas Greiss, who is 13-8 with a 2.32 GAA overall, including 7-5 with a 2.30 GAA at home, while vs the Flyers he is 2-2 with a 2.22 GAA. The Islanders are an average offensive team as they come in at 12th in scoring, putting up 2.7 gpg and 21st in power play conversions at 17.6%. On the defensive end of the Ice they are 9th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.4 gpg and 2nd in penalty kill (87.7%).


Trends for Philadelphia:
5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
17-43 in their last 60 road games


Trends for New York:
13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400
9-4 in their last 13 home games


Betting Analysis
Even though the Islanders are playing on no rest and the Flyers do have a days rest, I will go with the better Islanders team here for my NHL picks, especially at home as the Flyers are not a good road team at all. The Islanders have the better goalie in this one and they also rate the better team on offense as well. Neither team is playing all that well right now, but still the Islanders are at home and will be the more desperate team in this one.

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