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NHL Best Bets Today: Playoff Matchups, Odds, Picks, and Predictions

NHL Best Bets Today: Playoff Matchups, Odds, Picks, and Predictions
Evgeni Malkin of the Pittsburgh Penguins reacts after scoring a goal during the second period in Game 6. Photo by Kirk Irwin/Getty Images via AFP.

The final Game 7s conclude on Sunday night. The New York Rangers and Calgary Flames are the home favorites in their respective affairs. Read on for our picks, predictions, and best bets.

Saturday’s slate of Game 7s didn’t disappoint, and we have two more on the docket Sunday. The Rangers have battled all the way back from a 3-1 series deficit to force a do-or-die contest against the Penguins. There are injury concerns on both sides, including Pittsburgh star Sidney Crosby.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Stars won Game 6 to force a decider in Calgary. The Flames are the heavy favorites at home.

Here are our best bets for Sunday’s NHL slate (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and Foxbet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Sunday’s NHL Schedule and Odds

(Odds via DraftKings)

  • Pittsburgh Penguins (+120) vs. New York Rangers (-140)
  • Dallas Stars (+160) vs. Calgary Flames (-190)

Sunday’s NHL Best Bets

  • Moneyline: Flames (-190 via DraftKings) ★★★★★
  • Upset: Penguins (+122 via FanDuel) ★★
  • Total: Penguins-Rangers Over 6 (-120 via Foxbet) ★★★
  • Prop bet: Adam Fox Over 0.5 points (-150 via DraftKings) ★★★★
  • Parlay: Stars +2.5 + Under 5.5 = +110 (via DraftKings) ★★★

SEE ALSO: Stanley Cup Playoffs Odds and Picks

Sunday’s NHL Top Picks

ML: Flames (-190)

I’ve been reluctant to rate a play five stars in the playoffs, but the Flames are locked in.

Calgary has been the better team in every game in terms of shot attempts and expected goals. The Flames have a 57.41% xGF (13.17 to 9.17) in the series. They’ve been the better team at even strength, and Jacob Markstrom has been tremendous in net with a .945 save percentage.

Jake Oettinger has been even better, however, with a .954 SV% to steal a few games for the Stars. Dallas already outdid itself by winning two games in this series, let alone three.

The Flames were 25-9-7 at home this season with the Stars at a lowly 19-20-2 on the road. It should be close, but Calgary will close it out at home.

Upset: Penguins (+122)

There are a lot of unknowns heading into Game 7. Crosby and Tristan Jarry both skated in an optional practice on Saturday, so there is hope that they play. Crosby would have a huge impact and Jarry is a significant upgrade over Louis Domingue, assuming both players are fully healthy.

Pittsburgh has a playoff-best 62.05 xGF at five-on-five. The Pens have generated 22.66 xG to New York’s 13.86. They’ve even been able to take advantage of a shaky Shesterkin in net. They deserve more respect than +122. I’d take the Penguins all the way down to even money, but keep an eye on the status of Crosby and Jarry.

Total: Penguins-Rangers Over 6 (-120)

This series has been incredibly high-scoring. Only the Colorado Avalanche (5.25) have more goals per game than these two teams (Penguins 4.33, Rangers 4.00). Every game has gone Over the total, and they all cleared it by more than a full goal.

We saw three low-scoring Game 7s on Saturday, but I think this game bucks that trend. Neither team can fully trust its goalie, so both offenses should put up a few goals.

Prop: Fox Over 0.5 points (-150)

Fox got hot to end the season (nine points in six games) and that has continued in the playoffs. He has a point in every contest this series, including a four-point performance in Game 6.

The defenseman should play around 25 minutes, including time on the top power-play unit in a physical series.

Parlay: Stars +2.5 + Under 5.5 = +110

A similar same-game parlay came through last night in Edmonton with a low-scoring, two-goal game. I’m expecting another one of those tonight. There have been just 24 goals through six games, 12 for each side.

This parlay hit in all but two games, both 4-2 Stars wins. I see the Flames getting an early lead and holding it down in a close Game 7 win.

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Daily Betting Picks

Where to Bet on the NHL

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NHL best bets made on 5/15/2022 at 3:32 a.m. ET.