Good Betting Value on Flyers Moneyline vs. Canadiens

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, November 15, 2014 3:54 PM GMT

Do the Flyers have a chance tonight on the road versus the current Eastern Conference leading Canadiens? Read what our professional NHL handicapping guru has to say in his betting preview on this game.

Hockey Night in Canada Preview
The Canadiens will play host to the Flyers on Saturday at the Belle Center in Montreal with a scheduled 7:05 PM ET start time. According to the NHL betting odds at SBR, the Canadiens are a -160 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5. These clubs met back on October 11th in Philadelphia, and the Canadiens skated away with a 4-3 win. The Flyers won 2 of 3 from the Canadiens last season, and all 3 of those games stayed under the total.

 

Looking to Continue the Momentum
The Flyers enter tonight winners of 3 of the last 4, and 6 of their last 9-games. They’re coming off a 4-3 home loss last night at the hands of the Columbus Blue Jackets. They will look to improve upon a 2-4 money line record on the road starting with tonight. A huge area of concern for the Flyers on the road thus far has been their special teams play. Opponents have converted 8-for-20 (40%) on the power play in the Flyers away games. Although the Flyers power play has been excellent at home by going 11-for-32 (34.4%), on the road has been a whole different story. They’ve gone just 2-for-20 (10%) with the man advantage in their away tilts during the 2014-2015 campaign. The Flyers are averaging a stellar 3.2 goals per game. However, they’ve also allowed 3.1 goals per contest.

 

Taking Advantage of Home Ice
This will be the finale of a 4-game in 8-day home stand for Montreal, and they’ve won each of the first 3. The Canadiens have gone a stellar 7-2 against the money line at the Belle Centre this season. As a matter of fact, the Canadiens enter tonight riding a 4-game winning streak overall. Montreal is currently atop the Eastern Conference standings with 25-points, and leads the Atlantic Division by a slim 1-point over the Tampa Bay Lightning.

 

Final Analysis
There are two angles we can look at pertaining to this contest tonight, and both favor the money line road underdog. As I alluded to earlier, the Philadelphia Flyers come off a 4-3 home loss last night versus their Metropolitan Division rival Columbus. They also enter tonight with a money line record of 7-8 on the year, and that equates to a .467 winning percentage. Any time you have a money line road underdog of +100 to +200 (Flyers), coming off a home 1-goal loss versus a division opponent, and they have a winning percentage of .400 to .490, they’ve gone 26-14 (65%) since 1996.

I also alluded to the fact that Montreal is coming off home wins in each of their previous 3-games. The Canadiens enter tonight with a very good 12-5 (.706) money line record on the year. When you play against money line home favorites of -200 or less in the 1st half of the season, and they’ve won 3 or more games in a row, and each of those wins came at home, then you would be 20-9 (69%) since 1996.

These two NHL betting systems have combined to go 46-23 (66.7%) against the money line since 1996. We would be foolish to ignore that kind of successful winning percentage that’s withstood the test of time when making our NHL picks today.

Free NHL Pick: Flyers +150 over the Canadiens at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":305400, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]