Goalies Should Keep Score 'Under" in Senators-Canadiens Matchup

Dana Lane

Sunday, February 4, 2018 1:01 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 4, 2018 1:01 PM UTC

The Senators, seeking their first three-game win streak since October, are in Montreal today to face a Canadiens team with a 6-1 "under" record in their past seven vs. Atlantic foes.

Sunday NHL: Senators vs. CanadiensFree NHL Pick: Under 5.5 -125Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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I suppose that’s what I get for going against what I like to do and that’s stick with UNDER plays. One day I go crazy and with OVERS and they failed to come through. No different in this column but today is a new day. With it being Super Bowl Sunday, the NHL only features three games. No problem for us but it would be nice to have few extra games to choose from.

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Game. Over. pic.twitter.com/GMjFu2oCIL

— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) February 3, 2018

I do want to talk about betting the Super Bowl in my hockey column because I think it important repeating, no matter the sport.

The magnitude of today’s football game will make many wager beyond their bankroll. Yes, I know, its fun but you need to ask yourself, is my 10 percent of your total bankroll wager really a responsible way to wager? I can’t stress this enough, whether we’re talking the NFL or NHL, you need to be consistent so when you wake up Monday morning you still have money in your account. This is not the day to jump on 30 props so you feel part of the festivities.

Like I’ve pointed out in previous articles, I always look to special teams first to see how much I can expect to give up or not give up. In today’s Senators-Canadiens game, it statistically suggests that neither teams' power-play units will provide enough to worry about an OVER when making your NHL picks.

Ottawa comes into the game ranked 29th with the man advantage, while Montreal is suffering as well with just a 19.7 success rate. We don’t have to worry much about their ability to kill off power plays because neither team is potent enough to take advantage of the other’s weakness.

The goaltending matchup will see Mike Condon start for Ottawa against Carey Price for Montreal. If you remember back, Condon was a member of the Canadiens and played a lot for the Habs when Price was injured for most of the 2015-2016 season. He then played one game for Pittsburgh before landing a permanent spot with the Senators. There is no doubt in my mind that Condon would like to show his former team what they’re missing. Condon’s numbers have been less than impressive this season (4-7-4, 3.27, .903) but he has lost four in overtime where a few bounces here and there could have brought his record closer to the .500 mark.

On the other side is Price, and despite his team's poor season you never really are comfortable betting OVER’s when Price is involved.

Stay within your bankroll today no matter what sport you’re involved with. But one thing is for sure based on the NHL odds board: Montreal and Ottawa are going UNDER the 5.5

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