Generous Plus Money with Washington the Right Side

Dana Lane

Saturday, May 12, 2018 5:46 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 12, 2018 5:46 PM UTC

Maybe game one of the Eastern Conference series should be used a s a tool for handicapping the game one of the Western Conference series.

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning

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Free NHL Picks: Washington +200Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

The prevailing thought was that the Tampa Bay Lightning would be ready and rested for the Washington Capitals who were sure to be emotionally spent after finally defeating their nemesis Pittsburgh Penguins. Perhaps the Caps would be a satisfied group who would need a game to get involved in a series with a team that they’ve owned throughout the years. That would prove to be false as the Capitals took game one easily, 4-2, as a +170 underdog. It was the first licking the Lightning had received this postseason, except for Brad Marchand’s.

Game two puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 ET / 5:00 PT from Amalie Arena and can be seen on the NBC Sports Network, CBC (Canada), TVAS (French), and Sportsnet (Canada). It would be nice to see ESPN there one day but I supposed SEC College Softball brings in more viewers.

It seems the oddsmakers are doubling down on the Tampa Bay Lightning in game two according to the SBR odds page. Jon Cooper’s team is a once again a solid -200 favorite at some spots with the consensus falling around -190. Game two is the most important game in the series from the standpoint of setting the future tone so it’s not a shock that there was very little adjustment from game one knowing that the money will be on the Lightning. The betting on game one was as close as you could get. In fact, the ticket count was split 50/50 but in game two it appears that the public likes what they just saw with 64% of the early count coming in on the Caps. The “Sharps” seem to be where the predictable money is going because they just love their ‘Zig Zag theory’. My thing has always been, if any theory worked there wouldn’t be any sportsbooks. With billions of people on this Earth someone would have come up with a mathematical system to consistently win. Following systems is lazy so do your homework and watch the games.

We’ll be dealing with a 6 once again as a total, -110 each way. If you watched me on the ‘Ice Guys Show’ you know how I struggle with this number but I would be compelled to play the ‘over’ if being asked an opinion but it’s not nearly as strong as the side.

My thought process in most series is to take the underdog plus price in the first two games because you leave yourself in a position where two good things can happen to one bad outcome. You could win both and have a very nice profit or you could split and still take home some money. The third isn’t ideal but because you’re betting dogs a $100 bettor would have only dropped a couple bills instead of laying $400 to win $200 to start the series.

For our bankroll it makes sense to take the Capitals at +170 even though I haven’t changed my thinking that Tampa is the better team. It’s simple bankroll management.

All the best.

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