Free NHL Picks for Senators vs. Penguins

Ross Benjamin

Monday, February 3, 2014 3:24 PM GMT

The Penguins host the Senators at Consol Energy Center in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania with the opening faceoff slated for 7:05 PM ET. Let's go over the sports betting odds.

According to NHL betting odds Pittsburgh is a -205 money line home favorite and the posted total is 6.0. The home team has won 5 of the last 6-games between these teams. These clubs have seen 5 of their last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh go over the total.

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Penguins Power

The Penguins enter today atop the Metropolitan Division with a commanding 15-point lead over the 2nd place New York Rangers, and are 1st overall in the Eastern Conference 5-points in front of the next best Boston Bruins. Their special teams have been terrific this season. They’re first in the NHL on both the power play (24.7%), and penalty killing (87.6%). They’re coming off a 3-1 loss at Phoenix on Saturday. The Penguins are 12-4 versus the money line this season following a loss. Pittsburgh has gone a terrific 22-4 versus the money line at home this season, and is 42-9 in their last 51 at the Consol Energy Center. They’ve gone over the total in 7 of their last 8 home games.

Struggling with Consistency

Although the Ottawa Senators have done a nice job of overcoming a 4-10 start to the season, and an underachieving 1st half of the year, they can ill afford to take their foot off the gas pedal like they’ve done recently. They come off a 6-3 home loss at Toronto on Saturday in a game in which they squandered a 2-goal 2nd period lead. Ottawa has now gone 4-4 versus the money line in their last 8-games. However the Senators have earned at least 1-point in 14 of their last 18-games. The Senators have seen 4 of their last 5-games go over the total, and they’ve gone over the total in the last 4 versus opponents with a winning record. Entering today Ottawa is 6th in the Atlantic Division, tied for 12th overall in the Eastern Conference, and there are just 2-points behind 3 other teams for the final playoff position in the Eastern Conference.

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NHL Betting System

Any home team with a total of 6.0 or more that’s playing in the 2nd half of the season, that has a goal per game differential of 0.5 goals or better, and are coming off 1 or more games that have gone under the total, has seen 95 of those 150-games (63.3%) go under the total since the beginning of the 1996-1997 year. Take the under the total of 6.0 for your free hockey picks.

NHL Pick: Ottawa/Pittsburgh to go under the total of 6.0.