Free NHL Picks: Predators With Home Ice Advantage Over Sharks

Dana Lane

Thursday, May 5, 2016 3:43 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 5, 2016 3:43 PM UTC

Will the Nashville Predators continue to ride their wave of their game three success? Let's review the NHL odds and try to find where the value is to be had in this Stanley Cup Playoffs series.

Sharks vs. Predators
The Nashville Predators will have to lean on their fantastic special teams play to get this series tied at two. The Predators went 2 for 5 on the man advantage while killing off all four Sharks powerplays. That was a welcome performance considering the Predators on the powerplay have been finding success just under 19% of the time while allowing goals at a rate of over 30% on the PK. Nashville started the postseason just 2 for 31 to start the playoffs. 

Thankfully for the Predators Pekka Rinne seems to be on a positive streak again. Rinne is just 3-2 over his last five but his goals against average of 1.63 and save percentage (.947) are Stanley Cup winning statistics. At 6-5 Rinne covers a lot of space in the crease so when he's on top of his game he can be extremely effective.  It would be safe to say that Rinne has been better in the playoffs than the regular season where he was plagued by inconsistencies. 

Nashville handed the Sharks their first road loss in four playoff games and their second in their last 12 road contest. It's been well documented how good the Sharks have been on the road this season with their 28-10-3 regular season record. Pert of their road success is due to their ability to take early leads with four lines that have the ability to score.  That's why I can't emphasis how important depth is because while most teams are at least taking one shift off offensively because their fourth line, if they really have one, is more there to create a physical presence the Sharks are able to send four lines that have a chance to get on the board first.  

Bridestone Arena may be a different animal for the Sharks after they reeled off four straight wins after their only road loss in the playoffs.  San Jose has lost six of their last eight trips with an overtime loss. Their only win was a 3-2 shootout that obviously could have gone either way. 

Speaking of depth it looks as if Coloton Sissons will be good to go tonight after he hit his kneee sliding into the goalpost.  Coloton left the game but returned when the knee settled down.  I expect him to be 100% tonight. 

It will be interesting to see if Peter Laviolette sits veteran Mike Ribeiro again in favor Pontus Aberg as he did in game three.  Perhaps a message sent to the 15 year player who has not registered a point in four games. 

From a trend perspective on this NHL Pick, the Predators have a small trend forming winning five of their last six games after holding their opponents to two or less goals in the previous game. In addition the home team has been very profitable in this series recording a 39-18 record.

It's worth noting that the 'Under' has cashed ten times in their last 16 meetings with three 'pushes'. 

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NHL Pick: Predators -108
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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