Free NHL Picks: Look For Dallas To Get Back On Track vs. Ducks

Bruce Webster

Friday, January 15, 2016 6:27 PM GMT

Friday, Jan. 15, 2016 6:27 PM GMT

A contrast of styles takes place as the Dallas Stars bring the league’s highest scoring offense to the west coast to face the Anaheim Ducks. Let's review the NHL odds first to make our selection.

 

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NHL Pick: Dallas +105
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Dallas Stars Riding Hot Offense
Dallas is still atop the Central Division standings but that lead has shrunk to two points over the Chicago Blackhawks entering Thursday night. The Stars still have the league’s top offense, averaging 3.3 goals per game: their 149 goals are 10 more than any other team. Dallas is in the middle of the pack defensively, ranking 15th with 2.6 goals per game. The Stars are 3rd in the league on the power play as they convert 22.5 percent of their chances with the man advantage. Dallas is 12th in the league in penalty killing as they successfully kill off 81.3 percent of their shorthanded situations.

The Stars saw their offense fail to show up against Minnesota as they mustered just one goal. After a scoreless opening period, the Stars gave up a pair of goals in the second to go down 2-0 after 40 minutes of play. Jamie Benn lit the lamp with his 25th goal of the season on the power play at 16:47 of the third on assists from Patrick Sharp and Jason Spezza to cut the deficit in half. Despite good pressure, including a 16-4 edge in shots in the third period, the Stars couldn’t find the equalizer. Antti Niemi stopped 23 shots in the loss as the Stars outshot the Wild 35-25 in the game. Benn is tied for 2nd in the league in goals and in scoring this season. Tyler Seguin (tied for 4th in goals, 3rd in points) has contributed 24 goals and 51 points this season. Kari Lehtonen (13-3-0, 2.72 GAA, .911 save %, one shutout in 20 games) is expected to get the start in net here.

 

Anaheim Ducks Hoping for Offensive Surge
Anaheim is hoping that their recent run, which has seen them score 13 goals in their last five games, will lead to increased offensive production. The Ducks had gone through a stretch where they scored at least four goals just once in 12 games: they’ve hit that mark three times in their last five. The team needs more of that kind of production: Anaheim is last in the league with 1.9 goals per game. Anaheim is 5th in the league in goals against as they allow 2.3 goals per contest. The Ducks are 10th on the power play, scoring on 19.6 percent of their chances with the man advantage. Anaheim stands 1st in the league in penalty killing as they kill off 89.8 percent of their shorthanded situations.

After nearly 55 minutes of monotony, the Ducks finally got things going to get past the Senators. The game was scoreless after one period. In the second period, Andrew Cogliano’s 4th of the year on an assist from Kevin Bieksa at 7:06 gave the Ducks a 1-0 lead. Ottawa tied the game later in the frame and the score was tied after 40 minutes. In the third period, with the game still tied, Shea Theodore’s 1st of the year, coming on the power play at 15:05 on assists from Ryan Getzlaf and Sami Vatanen, gave Anaheim a 2-1 lead. Less than two and a half minutes later, Carl Hagelin scored his 4th of the year on assists from Ryan Kesler and Jakob Silfverberg at 17:28 made it 3-1. Silfverberg tallied his 4th at 18:34 on assists from Hampus Lindholm and Hagelin to close the scoring. Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 25 shots to get the win. John Gibson (9-6-2, 1.84 GAA, .926 save percentage, four shutouts) is expected to start in net. Let's review the latest trends and NHL odds.

 

Dallas Trends
20-6 in their last 26 after their opponent allowed less than two goals in their last game
19-7 in their last 26 vs. Pacific Division
18-7 in their last 25 vs. Western Conference

Anaheim Trends
4-10 in their last 14 vs. Central Division
3-10 in their last 13 after a win
1-4 in their last five against teams with a winning percentage above .600

 

Betting Analysis
This one is a battle of polar opposites as Dallas lights the lamp better than any other team in the league while Anaheim can’t buy goals most nights. The Stars are looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss at home while the Ducks have a win to give them a bit of momentum. Still, when you average less than two goals a game, it’s hard to put a lot of stock in a team’s chances. Look for Dallas to get back on track with a win here as our NHL Pick.

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